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Duncan Weldon

Website Duncan writes on the economy and economic policy. He is an econmist and has worked at the Bank of England, as a Partner in a fund management firm and for the Labour Party; Duncan currently works for an international trade union.

Hopeful signs in the labour market, but things remain a long way from normal

Duncan Weldon
19 February, 2014

Today’s labour market statistics were broadly positive but there are causes for concern beneath the headlines.

Unless we see a pick-up in productivity, the UK risks slower growth

Duncan Weldon
22 January, 2014

Unless we see a pick-up in productivity growth soon then the UK risks much slower growth, and lower living standards, in the future.

Today’s jobs figures: this doesn’t feel like a recovery

Duncan Weldon
16 October, 2013

Today’s labour market statistics show that for most people this doesn’t feel like a recovery.

Labour market still marked by serious weakness

Duncan Weldon
14 August, 2013

The latest labour market statistics show some encouraging signs, but the headline figures disguise serious weakness.

Today’s labour market statistics: ‘the good, the bad and the ugly’

Duncan Weldon
15 May, 2013

The ‘recovery’ in the wider economy is not being matched by rising real wages or rising living standards, instead the demand-constrained UK economy might be stumbling into a lower wage, lower productivity growth model with serious implications for living standards in the future.

The weakness of the wider economy is catching up with the labour market

Duncan Weldon
17 April, 2013

Whilst important not to read too much into one set of figures, it may now be the case that the weakness of the wider economy is catching up with the labour market.

There is no disguising the fact: these are disastrous figures for the chancellor

Duncan Weldon
27 February, 2013

Today’s figures from the ONS confirm that GDP fell by 0.3% in the fourth quarter of 2012. Whilst the upward revision is obviously good news, there is no disguising the fact that these are disastrous figures.

Wages and productivity falling despite positive unemployment figures

Duncan Weldon
20 February, 2013

While the latest drop in the unemployment figures should be welcomed, real wages have now been falling in every month for the past three years.

Bank of England throws in the towel on growth – where does this leave Osborne?

Duncan Weldon
14 November, 2012

The Bank of England appears to have thrown in the towel on growth with the publication of the latest Inflation Report, but where does this leave the chancellor?

Jobs stats no cause for celebration – things could, and should, be an awful lot better

Duncan Weldon
17 October, 2012

Today’s labour market stats are no cause for celebration – things could be, and should be, an awful lot better.

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