
Clegg’s Scottish discomfort
Lib Dem support in Scotland has plunged by more than a half since the 2007 Assembly elections – and is down 5 points in the last five months alone.

Lib Dem support in Scotland has plunged by more than a half since the 2007 Assembly elections – and is down 5 points in the last five months alone.

Labour leads the Tories in the Times/Populus poll series for the first time in three years in the wake of the comprehensive spending review as voters begin to realise the full scale of the coalition’s cuts agenda. Ed Miliband’s party are up one point on 38 per cent, with the Conservatives down two points on 37 per cent and the Liberal Democrats up one point on 15 per cent.

An Ipsos-MORI poll published yesterday shows the Lib Dems floundering in coalition, while the Conservatives thrive. Tory voters are happy – 85% are hopeful of their government’s potential. But only 54% of Lib Dems are, with 43% describing themselves as fearful of the government. This may reflect the fact that 51% of all voters believe the government is not a ‘genuine coalition’; instead, they think the Conservatives are making most of the decisions.

In spite of sharing the same proprietor as the Sun, The Times has virtually ignored the YouGov results. They are buried at the very end of an 800 word article reporting a “leaked” Populus poll for the Conservatives which finds David is seen as the more prime-ministerial brother. And it seems that the significance of the Populus poll’s findings can be called to question.

Asked which strategy for managing the budget deficit they agreed with, voters put the Coalition’s plans last. Just 22 per cent supported the Government’s attempt to deal with the deficit by the next election, compared to the 74 per cent who were evenly split between Labour’s proposal to reduce the deficit by half over the next five years.

One possible theory about the swing from David to Ed Miliband, reported in YouGov’s latest poll, is that the interventions of Tony Blair and Peter Mandelson may have done more to hinder than help the candidate that they were tryingtest

Today’s ICM poll for the Guardian puts the Labour party on level terms with the Conservatives for the first time since October 2007. But as noted by UK Polling Report’s Anthony Wells, “the Guardian’s report concentrates upon the findings ontest

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A detailed poll of election behaviour has been published. It shows that one-third of voters made up their mind in the final week, and a series of other attitudes.

The betting markets and leading pollsters are saying the Tory party will win enough seats to form a majority on May 6, even if widely expected to top the polls.