“The results are in: Keynesians have been completely right, Austerians utterly wrong - at vast human cost” - so wrote Nobel laureate Paul Krugman today.
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“The results are in: Keynesians have been completely right, Austerians utterly wrong – at vast human cost” – so wrote Nobel prize winning economist Paul Krugman in the New York Times following yesterday’s announcement Britain is in a double-dip recession.
He is, of course, absolutely right; for starters, compare our own austerity-driven failure to the fate of the US economy. As Left Foot Forward reported yesterday, the US economy is now 0.8 per cent above its pre-crisis peak, while the UK economy is 4.3 per cent below, as Graph 1 shows.
Graph 1:
Krugman adds:
“It’s important to understand that what we’re seeing isn’t a failure of orthodox economics. Standard economics in this case – that is, economics based on what the profession has learned these past three generations, and for that matter on most textbooks – was the Keynesian position.
“The austerity thing was just invented out of thin air and a few dubious historical examples to serve the prejudices of the elite…
“I wish I could believe that this would really be enough for us to move on and consider what can be done, now that we know that the ideas behind recent policy were all wrong. But that’s wishful thinking, I suppose.
“Nobody ever admits that they were wrong, and Austerian ideas clearly have an emotional and political appeal that is resilient to any and all evidence.”
• Krugman savages the “austerity debacle” 30 Jan 2012
• Krugman: Coalition is “bleeding” Britain dry 1 Dec 2011
• Obama/Cameron love-in comes unstuck over cuts 25 May 2011
• Krugman joins chorus for Tobin tax 30 Nov 2009
• Krugman: balanced budget would be “worst thing for future generations” 29 Sep 2011
And it’s not just progressive economists saying so – some on the right are finally coming round to recognising the insanity of extreme austerity.
The Daily Beast’s Andrew Sullivan writes:
“If austerity kills growth and thereby revenues, the debt problem can worsen. And Britain, remember, isn’t in the eurozone; it has some currency flexibility to ride some of the shocks. Even so, the passage this ship has to pass through to growth and lower debt is getting narrower and the rocks and tides more treacherous.
“The goal of structural fiscal balance within one five-year parliament has already been abandoned in the face of reality.
“As I’ve said before, I have a long record of fiscal hawkishness. I’m a Tory and want them to succeed. But the one time I worry about fiscal retrenchment is in a period of global recession, where premature austerity can hurt, not help.
“The key is to stimulate enough to get the economy moving on its own momentum and then phase in serious long term structural budget cuts and tax reform.”
134 Responses to “Krugman: “Keynesians have been completely right, Austerians utterly wrong””
tangentreality
There is a place for mutuals in a free market, granted. But having it entirely that way – putting an end to capital speculation – would be absolutely crackers.
tangentreality
Stop putting words in people’s mouths. How can ‘improving standards’ possibly be taken to mean ‘charging for them’? Did I say that? No.
You wouldn’t have to cut wages to make it cheaper to employ people – just the taxes associated with them.
You are proceeding on the assumption that the services currently provided by the State are 100% efficient. I hate to burst your bubble, but generally, the State is shite at efficiency. It’s very good at waste.
tangentreality
Your mindless rhetoric is totally at odds with what I’ve said in previous posts. I have said repeatedly I am in FAVOUR of high quality public services – I just want value for money from them!
I have said repeatedly that I do not favour taxing the lowest-paid! They should be less or no tax!
But please, don’t let facts get in the way of a good rant…
tangentreality
Killing people?! Utter hyperbole. I don’t see anyone out on the streets starving to death. I don’t see the workhouses being brought back. I don’t see people being denied medical treatment because they can’t afford it.
Probably because it ISN’T HAPPENING.
Please come back to our planet. It’s nicer here, honestly.
Selohesra
Don’t worry about old Botty – he’s just the pschotic loon who lives here. He’s never worried aboput truth or reality when composing his ravings