The latest opinion poll this morning showed the Tory lead down to ten points. It follows last week’s Observer poll which gave David Cameron only a six-pont lead
Today’s ComRes poll in the Independent shows Labour closing the gap on the Conservatives to just ten points – the lowest in this series for six months. It follows the Observer poll nine days ago that gave the Tories only a six point lead over Labour.
Since the European elections, where both main parties were hit badly by the expenses scandal and the performance of UKIP, ComRes have Labour steadily increasing, with the Conservatives only fleetingly breaking through the 40-point ceiling and now down in the mid-to-high 30s. Key, though, is the dwindling Tory lead, which may cause worries at Conservative HQ, with most experts calculating David Cameron’s need for at least a ten-point lead to be assured of victory.
UK Polling Report has more on the narrowing Tory lead; they say:
“The Conservatives’ level of support has fallen to around 39%. Of the ten polls this month, 7 have put them below forty, when every single poll in October had them at 40 or above, so it’s pretty clear they have dropped slightly (though to put this in context, they were polls showing them below 40 in September and almost all of of June).”
Among other notable results are the almost complete collapse in the BNP vote – just nine of the 1,003 people polled say they would definitely vote for the BNP if a General Election were held tomorrow – and the worryingly high number of voters who say they won’t vote at all, up three percentage points from mid-November to 17 per cent.
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16 Responses to “Recent polls show steady dwindling of Tory lead”
Shamik Das
Spot on! I read somewhere that the next election will be decided by about only 300-400,000 swing voters in less than 100 marginal constituencies. Doesn’t seem right to me either!
bbJ
Why is it you have stopped the comments on the Guido piece, just like your beloved Liebor party you are hopeless.
Merchant Banker
Shamik, you are a vain hopeless twat
Billy's Big Fan
What is hilarious is Billy Blofelds view. I wonder if Will and Shamik, could answer the points raised? It put a thousand on no chance.
“The current crop of junior Labour activists are starting to really get on my tits.
Are they too young to realise that the Labour Party have monumentally cocked up over the last 12 years?
Have they not noticed the illegal war?
Have they not noticed that the economy has been driven into the dirt?
Have they not noticed that we now live in an authoritarian Stasi like world?
Have they not noticed that the tax take has doubled without any corresponding improvement in services?
Have they not noticed that the poor have got poorer and that the long term unemployed are still out of work in equal numbers?
These young Labour activists are blindly supporting Labour – “cos it is their football team”. They will attack anyone or anything that points out that the last 12 years have been an unbelievable cluster-fuck. Will Straw is the latest with a factually incorrect attempt to rubbish Guido’s article on Britain being the only G20 country still in recession.
Will has had the decency to pull the “Guido dunce image”, but he is too cowardly to allow comments against his original article.
“Left Foot Forward believes in evidence and we’re happy to concede when someone else has better evidence than we do. It turns out that Guido was more up-to-date so we’re happy to eat a little humble pie (and remove the ‘D’). Comments are closed on this post.”
If I can’t comment on Will’s original blog anymore – then I shall use my own blog to point out that his unquestioning tribal support for the Labour Party is not “evidence based”. Look at the mess the country is in.”
Tom Sheppard
Recent polls show steady dwindling of Tory lead http://tinyurl.com/ygl8er5 <- @nigelsheppard looking forward to that meal I'm going to win!