Labour researchers rubbish YouGov claim that Jeremy Corbyn is set to win the leadership contest
Last night’s YouGov poll put Jeremy Corbyn in the lead in the race for Labour leader. It drew on a survey of Labour members, affiliated union members, and £3 registered supporters.
To add to the polling mix, the following represents data from a survey of 294 Labour councillors in key marginal seats carried out between Thursday 16 July and Monday 20 July 2015 by Labour History Research Unit, Anglia Ruskin University lecturer Richard Carr.
The previous June LHRU polling indicated below can be found here. Plugging in only these councillor results, the leadership and deputy leadership contests would proceed as follows:
Leadership contest
Round One – Liz Kendall is eliminated with 13.95 per cent of the vote
| Candidate | Vote | Percentage | % Change in First Preferences from June 2015 LHRU polling |
| Andy BURNHAM | 91 | 30.95% | -4.75 |
| Yvette COOPER | 88 | 29.93% | -0.17 |
| Jeremy CORBYN | 74 | 25.17% | 6.27 |
| Liz KENDALL | 41 | 13.95% | -1.35 |
| TOTAL | 294 |
Round Two – Jeremy Corbyn is eliminated with 25.77 per cent of the vote
| Candidate | Vote | Percentage |
| Andy BURNHAM | 102 | 35.05% |
| Yvette COOPER | 114 | 39.18% |
| Jeremy CORBYN | 75 | 25.77% |
| TOTAL | 291 |
Round Three – Yvette Cooper becomes Labour Leader with 52.1 per cent of the vote
| Candidate | Vote | Percentage |
| Andy BURNHAM | 137 | 47.90% |
| Yvette COOPER | 149 | 52.10% |
| TOTAL | 286 |
Deputy leadership contest
Round One – Ben Bradshaw is eliminated with 9.59 per cent of the vote
| Candidate | Vote | Percentage | % Change from June 2015 LHRU polling |
| Ben BRADSHAW | 28 | 9.59% | -3.09 |
| Stella CREASY | 45 | 15.41% | 2.69 |
| Angela EAGLE | 33 | 11.30% | 3.8 |
| Caroline FLINT | 63 | 21.58% | -5.52 |
| Tom WATSON | 123 | 42.12% | 1.42 |
| TOTAL | 292 |
Round Two – Angela Eagle is eliminated with 12.89 per cent of the vote
| Candidate | Vote | Percentage |
| Stella CREASY | 49 | 17.07% |
| Angela EAGLE | 37 | 12.89% |
| Caroline FLINT | 72 | 25.09% |
| Tom WATSON | 129 | 44.95% |
| TOTAL | 287 |
Round Three – Stella Creasy is eliminated with 20.91 per cent of the vote
| Candidate | Vote | Percentage |
| Stella CREASY | 60 | 20.91% |
| Caroline FLINT | 84 | 29.27% |
| Tom WATSON | 143 | 49.83% |
| TOTAL | 287 |
Round Four – Tom Watson becomes Labour Deputy Leader with 61.62 per cent of the vote
| Candidate | Vote | Percentage |
| Caroline FLINT | 104 | 38.38% |
| Tom WATSON | 167 | 61.62% |
| TOTAL | 271 |
Ruby Stockham is a staff writer at Left Foot Forward. Follow her on Twitter
24 Responses to “New survey of Labour councillors puts Yvette Cooper in the lead”
John Farrar
I dont think this would be a bad outcome to be honest might bring some stability , personally I feel that the party needs time to rediscover what it stands for and how to articulate that to the public so I would prefer that this election was not happening . Given that it is I will vote for Corbyn becuase at least he has articulated his beliefs in a clear understandable way and not resorted to the deeply dpressing soundbites of the other candidates . I think Yvette would prove the strongest leader out of the candidates but how the Labour Party would counter the abuse she would get in a campaign for being Mrs Ed Balls ( as wrong as that is ) needs thinking about after our feeble 2015 campaign . I just hope we dont end up following thenonsense peddled by the neo blairiites about some centre ground that sits just to the left of a very right wing Tory governemnt and develop a clear effective opposition that builds public trust for a clear labour alternative that has a good fair society at its core
stevep
The only criteria to be the next leader of the Labour party should be that they are able to communicate Labour`s policy to the electorate, simply and effectively.
It is the policy that matters.
stevep
The only criteria to be the next leader of the Labour party should be that they are able to communicate Labour`s policy to the electorate, simply and effectively.
It is the policy that matters.
Matty
Yes, you’re right. Didn’t this site use to have the strapline “Evidence-based policy”?
JAMES MCGIBBON
Rubbish Islamists were spreading their poison in mosques and prisons in the UK and elsewhere long before 9/11 and Iraq. Blair took them on and well done to him. Saddam should have been finished off 1991.