Labour researchers rubbish YouGov claim that Jeremy Corbyn is set to win the leadership contest
Last night’s YouGov poll put Jeremy Corbyn in the lead in the race for Labour leader. It drew on a survey of Labour members, affiliated union members, and £3 registered supporters.
To add to the polling mix, the following represents data from a survey of 294 Labour councillors in key marginal seats carried out between Thursday 16 July and Monday 20 July 2015 by Labour History Research Unit, Anglia Ruskin University lecturer Richard Carr.
The previous June LHRU polling indicated below can be found here. Plugging in only these councillor results, the leadership and deputy leadership contests would proceed as follows:
Leadership contest
Round One – Liz Kendall is eliminated with 13.95 per cent of the vote
| Candidate | Vote | Percentage | % Change in First Preferences from June 2015 LHRU polling |
| Andy BURNHAM | 91 | 30.95% | -4.75 |
| Yvette COOPER | 88 | 29.93% | -0.17 |
| Jeremy CORBYN | 74 | 25.17% | 6.27 |
| Liz KENDALL | 41 | 13.95% | -1.35 |
| TOTAL | 294 |
Round Two – Jeremy Corbyn is eliminated with 25.77 per cent of the vote
| Candidate | Vote | Percentage |
| Andy BURNHAM | 102 | 35.05% |
| Yvette COOPER | 114 | 39.18% |
| Jeremy CORBYN | 75 | 25.77% |
| TOTAL | 291 |
Round Three – Yvette Cooper becomes Labour Leader with 52.1 per cent of the vote
| Candidate | Vote | Percentage |
| Andy BURNHAM | 137 | 47.90% |
| Yvette COOPER | 149 | 52.10% |
| TOTAL | 286 |
Deputy leadership contest
Round One – Ben Bradshaw is eliminated with 9.59 per cent of the vote
| Candidate | Vote | Percentage | % Change from June 2015 LHRU polling |
| Ben BRADSHAW | 28 | 9.59% | -3.09 |
| Stella CREASY | 45 | 15.41% | 2.69 |
| Angela EAGLE | 33 | 11.30% | 3.8 |
| Caroline FLINT | 63 | 21.58% | -5.52 |
| Tom WATSON | 123 | 42.12% | 1.42 |
| TOTAL | 292 |
Round Two – Angela Eagle is eliminated with 12.89 per cent of the vote
| Candidate | Vote | Percentage |
| Stella CREASY | 49 | 17.07% |
| Angela EAGLE | 37 | 12.89% |
| Caroline FLINT | 72 | 25.09% |
| Tom WATSON | 129 | 44.95% |
| TOTAL | 287 |
Round Three – Stella Creasy is eliminated with 20.91 per cent of the vote
| Candidate | Vote | Percentage |
| Stella CREASY | 60 | 20.91% |
| Caroline FLINT | 84 | 29.27% |
| Tom WATSON | 143 | 49.83% |
| TOTAL | 287 |
Round Four – Tom Watson becomes Labour Deputy Leader with 61.62 per cent of the vote
| Candidate | Vote | Percentage |
| Caroline FLINT | 104 | 38.38% |
| Tom WATSON | 167 | 61.62% |
| TOTAL | 271 |
Ruby Stockham is a staff writer at Left Foot Forward. Follow her on Twitter
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24 Responses to “New survey of Labour councillors puts Yvette Cooper in the lead”
Lewis Mughal
Terrible headline.
Matty
I see the headline has changed in the last hour or so. It was something like “New Survey Bursts Corbyn Bubble”- hence some of the older comments here may look a little odd
Sean Garrity
Fortunately the result will not be up to a few councillors in marginal seats but will be one vote per member as it should be
To date Corbyn is the only candidate prepared to stand by his beliefs which in modern political times is pretty unique
The debacle of The Welfare Bill abstentions by the other candidates have not been received well in the real world away from their Westminster bubble.
If elected as leader Corbyn may not win the next Election or even the one after that but at least I know what he stands for which cannot be said for any of the other cowardly win at any cost Tory lite candidates
lcfcsr
They’ve still gone with the sub heading of “Labour researchers rubbish YouGov claim that Jeremy Corbyn is set to win the leadership contest”, which is completely false and a misleading statement
Nick
If Corbyn had become leader of the labour party before Blair,
the Middle East would be a much safer place today
As it is and forever more the worlds public will have to
watch their back
uk politics is not all about what the UK does its global and
it needs above all else that special person that has a good solid grounding in
the many faiths that there are in the world to be able to reach out and make a
difference
There is no one in the conservative party who could or has
the ability to reach out to anyone and that on its own is the main reason why
the conservatives should never be in power
At least the labour party has a few principled mp’s and the
next leader should come from that background only with the rest hoping over to
the conservatives although they won’t be welcome it’s where they belong and
that’s causing grief to many both at home and overseas
All conservative governments worldwide are repressive and
the UK government is no different