SNP on course to gain all Scottish seats

Meanwhile polling shows that Nicola Sturgeon is the most popular leader in Britain

 

The SNP are on course to gain all 59 seats in Scotland, according to a fresh poll out today.

The data, compiled by Ipsos-Mori for STV, puts the SNP on 54 per cent of the vote, up two percentage points since January. The Labour Party is languishing on 20 per cent (down four points). The Tories are up five points to 17 per cent, whilst the Lib Dems are up one point to five per cent. The Greens are down two points to two per cent and UKIP are on one per cent.

According to electoral calculus, this would see the SNP pick up all 59 seats in Scotland.

The poll comes just a day after a Survation poll for the Daily Record put the SNP in Scotland on 51 per cent of the vote, with Labour on just 26 per cent. Replicated nationwide, this would hand the SNP 55 out of Scotland’s 59 seats in the House of Commons.

This in turn came a day after polling by TNS put the SNP in Scotland on 54 per cent of the vote, compared to Labour on just 22 per cent.

Similarly, the latest poll of polls compiled by Professor John Curtice for the What Scotland Thinks website puts the SNP on 50 per cent of the vote, 25 percentage points ahead of Scottish Labour.

With Scottish Labour leader Jim Murphy warning that the SNP gaining half or more of the votes cast in Scotland would turbo charge the country towards a second independence referendum, John Curtice has warned that Labour’s problem in Scotland could well be its leadership.

Assessing Miliband and Murphy’s poor standing in the eyes of Scottish voters, he concludes:

“If disaster does strike Labour on May 7th the party may have to conclude that, however good the tunes it played during the election campaign, it just simply did not have a good enough organist to attract listeners’ attention.”

Meanwhile, SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon has the highest net approval rating across Britain of any political leader, just over a week before voters go to the polls.

That’s the finding of a poll conducted by TNS for the Herald newspaper in mid-April and published today.

It shows that across England, Wales and Scotland, Ms Sturgeon’s net approval rating is  +33, a record for TNS. Following her is Nigel Farage on +12 and David Cameron on +7. Ed Miliband’s net approval rating stands at -8 whilst Nick Clegg is on -22.

When looking just at Scotland however, Ms Sturgeon has a net approval rating of +55, the only leader to have a net positive north of the border. She’s followed here by Ed Miliband on -2, David Cameron on -7. Nigel Farage on -15 and Nick Clegg on -34.

The findings are a reflection of the profile the SNP leader has secured nationwide as a result of the televised leaders debate, and will be seen within the party as a vindication of her strategy to embrace and woo the UK as a friend rather than an adversary.

Ed Jacobs is a contributing editor to Left Foot Forward. Follow him on Twitter

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11 Responses to “SNP on course to gain all Scottish seats”

  1. littleoddsandpieces

    NO BIG PARTY OR THE SMALL ONES IN THE MEDIA EYE OFFER ANYTHING
    BUT NIL STATE PENSION

    As no big party or UKIP or The Greens offer me any state pension in life, after three decades in work and more, then it appears my petition will have to be direct to Ms Sturgeon after Thursday 7 May.

    See why so many men and women are seeing the end of the state pension from Labour, Tories, UKIP, The Greens and especially the Lib Dems, as Pensions Minister was Lib Dems Mr Steve Webb, at end of my petition, in my WHY IS THIS IMPORTANT section:

    https://you.38degrees.org.uk/petitions/state-pension-at-60-now

    SERPS OPT OUT – THE SERPS NO-ONE HAS EVER HEARD OF, ESPECIALLY THE POOREST

    The SERPs opt out will become far bigger than PPI, but is something we can do nothing about as it is government.

    Just as we could do nothing against the wipe out of the Married Woman’s Stamp.

    SERPs opt out will hit private and works pensions just as much.

    SERPs (that became the State Second Pension – S2P – from 2002) is abolished from 6 April 2016, so the rise in national insurance contributions will not give the basic state pension and the SERPs top up as in the past.

    So the promised (illusory) £155 per week state pension, is far below the basic state pension and SERPs not contracted out total of £278.10 per week.

    SERPs opt out began on 6 April 1978, the exact same date SERPs began.

    STURGEON FOR PRIME MINISTER

    So yes, please vote SNP in Scotland.

    Then maybe start a petition to make Ms Sturgeon Prime Minister.

    VOTE OUT PRIME MINISTER
    CAMERON
    Witney voting area

    Tories won with 33,973 votes

    20,997 did not vote

    7,511 votes wasted on Labour

    11,233 votes wasted on Lib Dems

    VOTE WITNEY:

    National Health Action

    Clive Peedell

    Consultant cancer specialist,

    founder and co-leader of NHA Party,

    on BMA council,

    chair of NHS Consultants’ Association.

    VOTE OUT MILIBAND – LABOUR LEADER

    VOTE TUSC candidate

    Mary Jackson

    DONCASTER NORTH

    19,637 Labour win in 2010

    30,198 did not vote

    Total Voters 71,681

    MEET YOUR CANDIDATE!

    MEET TUSC MP CANDIDATE

    MARY JACKSON

    Tuesday 5th May,

    7-00pm

    Danum Hotel,

    High Street,

    Doncaster DN1 1DN

    Speakers include:

    Mary Jackson

    TUSC candidate for

    Doncaster North

    Steve Williams TUSC candidate for

    Don Valley

    Mev Akram TUSC candidate for

    Doncaster Central.

    THIS ELECTION IS BOGUS
    http://www.anastasia-england.me.uk

    The 6th biggest party, TUSC, should be getting fair media coverage in national press and TV news.

    Not even The New Statesman makes any mention of TUSC.

    TUSC is the Labour party I voted for all my life, my father did, my grandparents did.

    TUSC is the sacked by Labour party for voting against austerity cuts.

    TUSC is even the sacked by Maggie Thatcher for defying cuts as an entire council.

    THE WORKING CLASS ARE THE BULK OF THE NON-VOTERS

    All the so-called big parties offer just more starvation to the poor, that are 70 per cent of the population now disenfranchised.

    UKIP is a Tory party.

    The Greens ran away from all the policies that would have stopped starvation from May.

    VOTE OUT THE 1 GREEN – GET 3 PROPER SOCIALISTS MPs

    The 1 Green MP in Brighton could be voted out, and 3 proper socialists MPs brought into UK parliament.

    THREE VOTING AREAS IN BRIGHTON

    BRIGHTON PAVILIONS
    Vote out the 1 Green

    VOTE
    Socialist (GB)

    Howard Pilott

    16,238 votes The Greens win in 201

    22,175 did not vote

    The Greens ran away from policies to help the poor, and voted with the Tories for austerity cuts on Brighton council.

    HOVE
    (by Brighton)

    TUSC

    Dave Hill

    18,294 Tory win in 2010

    21,901 did not vote in 2010

    Meet the TUSC candidate:

    Brighton Public meeting

    8.00 PM Thursday 30th April Phoenxi Community Centre, Phoenix Place, BN2 9ND

    BRIGHTON KEMPTOWN

    Socialist (GB) candidate

    Jacqueline Shodeke

    16,217 Tory win in 2010

    23,310 did not vote in 2010

    Claimant Count 9360

    THERE ARE OTHER PARTIES AS WELL, THAT COULD HAVE BROUGHT IN OVER 150 NEW MPS GUARANTEED ANTI AUSTERITY IN ENGLAND, TO ADD TO SNP AND PLAID CYMRU, NEARLY 250 MPS equal in number to either Tory or Labour:

    http://www.anastasia-england.me.uk

  2. TN

    Heaven help us if Sturgeon has the whip hand over a weak Labour-led government. The left might spout all this bollocks about the coalition, but the fact is that they’ve tried weaning the country off this high tax welfare hellhole that the SNP want to restore. We’re facing potentially one of the worst downturns if Labour and the SNP have any kind of power after next week with their “all must have prizes” shit.

    Grim times.

  3. Cole

    Boring Tory hysteria. Who care about this Daily Mail nonsense?

  4. TN

    Its large readership perhaps? Compared to the miniscule numbers of people reading this blog. It is not hysteria when the people who have to pick up the tab for costly left wing policies are those who run businesses (of various sizes), work long hours and pay the lion’s share of tax.

  5. uglyfatbloke

    John Curtice says the leadership might be part of the problem? More breaking news….the world may be spherical.

  6. Leon Wolfeson

    Oh, right, the costs of nurses and teachers.
    Not something you paid for. As you put “business owners” on a pedestal.

    And you have no idea who pays most tax, I see. It’s the workers you dislike who do so, and you’re of course talking about working more than 40 hours, which is counter-productive for productivity…

  7. Leon Wolfeson

    Grim for your 1%, you might not get the tax cuts you’re counting on for that fifth mansion.
    And the “hellhole” UK – low tax per those leftists (lol) at the OECD – as you talk about a manufactured recession and praise lower wages and rapidly rising poverty.

    And “all must have food and shelter”, those EVIL prizes…

  8. Gary Scott

    Its a bit unfair to blame Jim Murphy or Ed Milliband. Problems first started to appear about ten years ago and repeatedly leadership failed to address them.

    Tactics used in Holyrood in fact, exacerbated them. And when it could have been turned round last year with Scottish Labour’s counter proposals to independence, the response by Ed Milliband was to eviscerate the proposals leaving them vague and essentially meaningless. Not Ed’s fault entirely, he hadn’t been told of the seriousness of the problem.

    Jim Murphy was always going to be problematic. He doesn’t sit in Holyrood, he’s standing again for Westminster, his reputation from his time with The Students Union was poor and he lacks substance. On the plus side he is experienced, presentable and a good speaker, all qualities lacking in Johann Lamont, the previous leader.

    The strategy AFTER the referendum was supposed to pull back support from YES voters. This was quickly abandoned in favour of an adversarial position. It didn’t work, the two year campaign alongside the Tories followed by this stance killed Labour stone dead amongst normal voters.

    Ed’s attitude, as it is portrayed in the press, will make the return of Labour to Scotland nigh on impossible.

  9. Gary Scott

    “..the whip hand”. Where have I hears that before??

  10. Gary Scott

    Business owners pay less to the treasury than employees through PAYE.

  11. uglyfatbloke

    That depends very much on the scale of your business. If you have a very small business you pay a greater proportion of your income in NI.

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