Fraser Nelson is wrong on Britain’s AAA rating

Fraser Nelson claimed that the possibility of a Tory Government is all that is preventing the UK losing its AAA credit rating. An FT interview proves him wrong.

Yesterday The Spectator’s Fraser Nelson claimed that the possibility of a Tory Government is all that is preventing the UK losing its AAA credit rating:

“Fitch Ratings has today said that Britain’s AAA debt rating is more at risk than that of any other major nation because it needs “the largest budget adjustment…

“But then Fitch says, more or less, that it’s banking on George Osborne’s first budget to sort the mess out.”

He further noted that the Conservatives:

“have been talking to the debt rating agencies (Fitch, S&P etc) and given them informal indications of how much they would cut the deficit by. I suspect that these agencies have been given more detail than the public has”

Brian Coulton, the head of European ratings at Fitch, has given an interview to the FT:

“Q: Is the expectation of a Conservative victory at the general election a significant factor in calculating the UK’s sovereign credit rating?

We are obviously aware that there will be an election next year but our capacity to forecast the election outcome would not be a sufficient basis to maintain a ‘AAA’ rating. We believe that fiscal policy objectives will be reorientated over the course of 2010 regardless of which government is in power …

“Q: Have either Labour or the Conservatives given Fitch analysts more information about their post-election spending plans than is available to the public?

No.”

Nelson looks to be wrong on both counts.

14 Responses to “Fraser Nelson is wrong on Britain’s AAA rating”

  1. Claire Spencer

    I try to be a good person. But I am always delighted when Fraser Nelson is wrong: http://bit.ly/3GVtxo #schadenfreude (@leftfootfwd)

  2. Paul Sagar

    There’s so much stupidity and madness in Guido’s comment one has to assume it’s a joke. After all, isn’t Fawkes supposed to be anti-politics? Why is he popping up defending the Tories time and again? No, it must be an imposter…

    Giles, how can you be a floating voter? I thought you were indentured to the Liberal Democrats?

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  4. Giles

    I only joined the party a couple of years ago. Voted every way in the past. Politics can’t work without us non-tribal types, who change their minds after the age of 18 a few times.

    I can’t quite believe how much like the Twat-o-Tron the comments at the bottom of Spectator blogs are.

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