Labour predicted to win overall majority if general election were held today with Reform dropping to 4th
The Labour Party would win a majority if an election were called today, according to the latest Electoral Calculus poll […]
The Labour Party would win a majority if an election were called today, according to the latest Electoral Calculus poll of polls.
In a welcome boost to Andy Burnham, Labour is predicted to win 365 seats, while the Conservatives would be the official opposition with 128 seats.
Reform would end up in fourth place with 57 seats, behind the Liberal Democrats on 60 seats.
The seat prediction is based on opinion polls from 05 October 2026 to 26 October, based on 15,728 people.
Crucially the modelling comes following the party conference season, in which Andy Burnham set out his programme for government.
Farage’s bubble has been well and truly burst. Only last year it was being suggested by some that there his march to Downing Street was unstoppable and yet now after lurching from one scandal to the next, Reform has collapsed in the polls.
Nonetheless, there still remains a great deal of work to be done to see off the threat of Reform.
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