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Labour with Andy Burnham as leader would beat Reform in a general election, poll suggests

The party’s electoral prospects would get a significant boost with Burnham at the helm

Olivia Barber · 1 min read

Labour’s electoral prospects would dramatically improve under Andy Burnham’s leadership, a new poll has found.

The More in Common poll, released yesterday, found that Labour would get an eight-point boost and move ahead of Reform if Burnham were leader. 

If a general election were held tomorrow, Labour would win 30% of the vote, compared with Reform’s 27%.

The Conservatives would trail on 20%, the Liberal Democrats on 11% and the Green Party on 7%.

Earlier this week, the Mayor of Greater Manchester was confirmed as Labour’s candidate in the Makerfield by-election on 18 June.

The incumbent Labour MP Josh Simons vacated his seat to give Burnham a route back to the House of Commons. If Burnham wins the Makerfield by-election, he is expected to launch a challenge against Keir Starmer’s leadership.

According to More in Common’s survey of 2,599 people, Burnham would win back a third of voters who have ditched Labour since the 2024 general election. 

The poll also shows that Reform’s support is not as solid as it appears, and that a change in Labour’s leadership and strategy could threaten its success.

Olivia Barber is a reporter at Left Foot Forward

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