Tories have 16 point lead over Labour with 44 per cent in ICM poll

Over half are 'confident' in their economic position


Theresa May’s Conservative Party maintains its huge polling lead over the Labour Party, with a new ICM/Guardian poll today giving the Tories 16 points against the opposition.

The Conservatives are on 44 per cent, up two points from an ICM poll earlier this month, while Labour remains at 28 per cent.

This is the highest ICM/Guardian polling score for the Tories in seven years – they last achieved 44 per cent in October 2009 – and only one point off their highest ever ICM/Guardian score of 45 per cent, last achieved in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis.

Here are the results:

Conservatives: 44 per cent (up two points from ICM earlier this month)

Labour: 28 per cent (no change)

Ukip: 12 per cent (up one)

Lib Dems: seven per cent (down two)

Greens: four per cent (up one)

ICM director Martin Boon notes the Tories beat Labour in every age group besides 18 to 24-year-olds. They are also ahead with women and lead in every socio-economic category, including the lowest, the ‘DEs’, though by a small margin of 33 per cent to Labour’s 32.

The online poll of 2009 adults was taken between the 25 and 27 November. It’s not thought this result is linked to the Autumn Statement last week.

Respondents were also asked ‘how confident do you feel about things at the moment?’ with reference to their economic situation. 

Over half, or 53 per cent, said they were ‘confident (very or fairly)’, while over two fifths (43 per cent) said ‘not confident (not very or not at all)’.

Despite a recent briefing from the Institute for Fiscal studies warning of historically slow wage growth, nearly a third (31 per cent) said their living standards had ‘got better’ over the last ten years, while a third (34 per cent) reported ‘no change’, while 29 per cent said their living standards were worse.

Today’s poll follows an ICM/Guardian poll on 21 November that found Theresa May has a 56 point advantage over Labour’s Jeremy Corbyn, with the PM on a +22 rating against Corbyn’s -34.

In the same poll, taken before the Autumn Statement, nearly half (48 per cent) said May and Chancellor Philip Hammond are best able to manage the economy, with only 15 per cent backing Corbyn and John McDonnell.

This 33 point lead is greater than the 27 point gap for previous Labour leader Ed Miliband and shadow chancellor Ed Balls (he of Strictly fame) when David Cameron and George Osborne were in power.

See: Brexit cannot become an all-purpose alibi for Tory incompetence


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