Tories 16 points ahead of Labour, says new poll

Labour support drops below 30 for the first time since entering opposition


New ICM polling shows that if an election were held today, the Tories would win 43 per cent of the vote to Labour’s 27 per cent — the biggest Conservative polling lead in 25 years.

In an election, these numbers would translate into a landslide Conservative majority, with Labour losing dozens of seats.

While Theresa May is in her ‘honeymoon’ period — prime ministers typically enjoy unusually high support in the weeks after they take office — the numbers are disastrous for Labour.

This is the weakest support the party has seen since the height of the financial crisis in 2009, and the Tory lead is ten points greater than at any point during Ed Miliband’s leadership.

Support for Labour has also dropped by two points since ICM’s last voting intentions poll less than two weeks ago, implying that the ongoing civil war within the party is impacting voter confidence.

Here are the full voting intention results:

Conservative: 43 per cent (+4)

Labour: 27 per cent (-2)

UKIP: 13 per cent (-1)

Liberal Democrat: 8 per cent (-1)

SNP: 4 per cent (nc)

Green: 4 per cent (nc)

Plaid Cymru: 1 per cent (nc)

‘Clearly, the relative calm associated with the handover of power from David Cameron to Theresa May, allied to the current Labour leadership challenge weighs heavily on electors’ minds,’ commented ICM’s Martin Boon.

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11 Responses to “Tories 16 points ahead of Labour, says new poll”

  1. Michael WALKER

    Never mind: I expect we will have Corbyn supporters tell us:
    1. Polls are wrong
    2. Polls are fixed by the Tories
    3. Labour under Corbyn will win in 2020.

  2. Tony

    Much of this can be attributed to the plotters who have decided to throw the Labour Party into turmoil. The danger has always been that they would help to cause the very thing that they feared in the first place.

    I expect they will now probably say:

    “See, we told you he was unelectable.”

  3. Martyn

    and no ‘don’t knows’ or ‘not voting’?

  4. Holman

    What did you expect? Theresa May has settled in nicely. Labour is still in flux. Polls are not referenda. Stay calm.

    General election unlikely in view of the referendum turning out to be a surprise to the politicians and the pollsters. Everyone needs to re-calibrate what voters are thinking. Stay calm.

  5. David Davies

    I thought that it was way over that in the PLP?

  6. Cole

    So the official Momentum line is that everything was going swimmingly until the PLP ‘plot ‘against JC. Of course it’s rubbish – Labour’s poll ratings have been dire since he became leader, as has its performance in local government elections.

  7. Keith

    A troubling poll result no doubt, but not unexpected given the public’s perception of the Labour Party at the moment. Indeed, who would support, give their business to or invest in a company where the board were in the process of trying to oust their MD?
    What I do find interesting is how LFF don’t seem to be publishing any articles that attest to Corbyn’s successes or the huge support that he so obviously enjoys.
    Time to unsubscribe?

  8. Bill Wells

    I hope the 172 are thoroughly shamed of themselves as just before the Blairite coup the Labour Party were 3 points ahead. They need to get behind the elected leader and so should this publication.

  9. Martyn Wood-Bevan

    And only 4 years to go before the next General Election! Labour unity would be a good thing. If the party had backed Jeremy from the off and anyone with any talent be more active in the party then I would imagine that we would have a very different result at this stage. Trying to promote Owen Smith as a potential new leader is just a continuation of this utter nonsense and could result in the Labour Party being considered unelectable, unlike all the other European left-wing parties such as Syriza, Podemos and similar. The SNP didn’t get into power through being divided.

  10. Steve Mizzy

    Corbyn has to accept some responsibility surely? Its not all down to the MP’s who mostly revolted in sheer frustration at his incompetence. Now, any divided party isn’t going to be a big hit with the voters and its entirely fair to say that elements within the party have sought to undermine him from day one, but Corbyn’s own failings cannot be glossed over.

  11. Martyn Wood-Bevan

    This was a pre-organised coup, which was talked about before the end of 2015, and some wouldn’t even join the shadow cabinet to start with. Seems rather quick to make such decisions, so can’t take your view very seriously. Any new leader needs a supportive environment and there manifestly wasn’t one.

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