The reverse seems to be the case
As the SNP begins its annual conference in Aberdeen today, it will do so in the knowledge that there has been no discernible ‘Corbyn bounce’ north of the border.
According to new polling out today, Labour’s standing in Scotland has actually fallen, with 21 per cent of those stating a voting preference supporting Labour in the constituency vote for the Scottish Parliament. This is down from 22 per cent the last time YouGov conducted such polling in September.
The SNP remain steady on 51 per cent, 30 percentage points ahead of Labour. The Conservatives are on 19 per cent (up one point), the Lib Dems are on 5 per cent (up from 4 per cent in September). Other parties stand on 4 per cent.
Asked how they would vote on the regional list section of next year’s elections to Holyrood, 45 per cent said the SNP, 20 per cent said Labour and 19 per cent said the Conservatives. The Lib Dems are on 5 per cent and the Greens on 6 per cent.
With Nicola Sturgeon now determined not to push for a second independence referendum imminently, excluding those who did not know or would not say, 48 per cent of those polled supported independence compared to 52 per cent who opposed it.
Today’s results should make Labour HQ sit up and pay attention. The expectation had been that Jeremy Corbyn would somehow revive Labour’s fortunes, yet the reverse seems to be the case, with this poll matching the findings of the data published by TNS last week.
In a difficult assessment for Labour, editor-in-chief of YouGov Freddie Sayers notes:
“The reality is that the appeal of the SNP in Scotland is much broader than simply anti-austerity. It is a nationalist party, currently buoyed by an atmosphere of successful rebellion against the UK establishment.
“In the eyes of Scottish voters, Mr Corbyn is still a remote Westminster figure, at the head of a party that has lost its covenant with Scottish voters. Today’s figures reveal the extent of the challenge ahead of him if he hopes to get a message through that will make a difference north of the border. Whatever that message is, it hasn’t been heard yet.”
Ed Jacobs is a contributing editor at Left Foot Forward. Follow him on Twitter
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28 Responses to “Second poll shows no Corbyn bounce in Scotland”
Nick
Richard Anti-austerity is the key and although both political parties are against austerity that’s not good enough as your not in power
my reference is that it’s best Scotland stick with the SNP for no other reason then Nicola Sturgeon is best placed to serve Scotland interest
Jeremy Corbyn likewise for the rest of the uk
The main aim between the two of them is to get rid of the conservatives as bringing doctors into disrepute with government will upset there core voter
you have to remember conservatives are just like the other conservative leaders worldwide and that’s only interested in class and that you were born in certain parts of the world
taking home someone for example to marry and you’ve not got the right job or come from the right background and your in big trouble and the same applies in the uk and always has done
There has never been a time when the people should have voted conservative as it is the evil curse of all mankind across the world from exploitation ‘segregation corruption slavery
Autocracy and it’s that evil that the SNP and labour will need to conquer nothing else
mightymark
Have I got this right – not only is the SNP still well ahead of Labour – OK pretty much expected – but Labour are now within only one or two points of the Tories?
mightymark
Mrs Sturgeon and Mr Salmond seem to treat the Saxe Coburgs very nicely whenever I’ve seen them together!
iain mackie
Scots have a memory shocker.
arthurfaeleith
Once again, I have to ask – what has your sister got to do with this?
For a fleeting moment, I thought perhaps this was one of those embarassingly juvenile ‘Combat 18’ type of things: you know, when someone does something that they think is awfully clever, but everybody else feels embarassed about? But no, surely someone posting under their own name couldn’t be so cringingly, toe curlingly, crass? There’s a guy over at the Scot goes Pop website who does this too. Awkward for everyone.
So – what has this to do with your sister?