Hutton’s pensions report: Much to welcome – but also much to fear

John Hutton's report on public service pensions raises as many questions as it answers - his interim report is about the big picture, not the detail.

John Hutton’s report on public service pensions raises as many questions as it answers. His interim report is about the big picture, not the detail of what will happen in individual pension schemes. There is much to welcome, but also much for public servants to fear.

The value of public service pensions has already been reduced by 25 per cent Lord Hutton reveals. The switch to CPI indexation in the budget reduced their value by 15 per cent, and the negotiations with Alan Johnson in 2005 – dismissed as meaningless by many on the right – adds a further 10 per cent cut.

While there is no detail about what his big picture reforms will mean in practice, they could potentially make substantial changes to the pensions people get when they retire. While progressives will welcome his clear concern for the low paid, many public sector workers are middle income. They may lose out from a pension scheme that moves away from being based on their living standards when they retire.

But ministers hoping for a quick easy contribution to rapid deficit reduction will be deeply disappointed, as he has singularly failed to provide any blueprint. Instead he puts the ball firmly back to ministers saying increased contributions from staff are entirely up to them, and says further:

“…that any increases should be managed so as to protect the low paid and, if possible, increases in contributions should be staged and need to be considered with a view to preventing a significant increase in opt out rates.”

At a time when public servants are facing a pay freeze, job cuts and increased workloads, the government may well shy away from providing an issue that unites public servants across sectors. Inflation has taken off, and cuts in actual take home pay would provoke an angry reaction.

But on the positive side, Lord Hutton has firmly rebutted the view expressed by right wing think-tanks and both coalition parties that public service pensions are ‘gold-plated’:

“It is mistaken to talk about ‘gold-plated’ pensions as being the norm across the public sector. In the most part, the pensions that are paid out to public service employees when they retire are fairly modest by any standard.”

And he rejects the right wing view that public sector pensions must be reduced in line with private sector provision:

“(The) downward drift in pension provision in the private sector does not however provide sufficient support or justification in my view for the argument that pensions in the public sector must therefore automatically follow the same course. I regard this as a counsel of despair.

“In making clear I believe there is a case for further reform I have therefore rejected a race to the bottom as the only answer, and hope that reformed public service pensions can be seen as once again providing a benchmark for the private sector to aim towards.”

He defends the unfunded pay-as-you-go model for public sector pensions (where contributions go towards paying pensions, rather than invested) which is anathema to the TaxPayer’s Alliance, and rejects the big scary numbers generated by those trying to pointlessly assess what it would cost to pay all future pensions tomorrow. Instead, like the Treasury, National Audit Office and Office for Budget Responsibility, he accepts that the real measure of pensions affordability is the proportion of GDP they cost to pay.

The graph reproduced from his report shows that this is not out of control but eminently affordable:

Projected-pension-payments-as-a-percentage-of-GDP

Indeed any reasonable reader might well conclude that while there may be a case for restructuring some elements of pension provision, there is no pensions crisis and the savings already made ensure their continued affordability without any further cuts in provision.

• There is further analysis of the Hutton pensions report over at Touchstone.

15 Responses to “Hutton’s pensions report: Much to welcome – but also much to fear”

  1. GORDON LYEW

    RT @leftfootfwd: Hutton's pensions report: Much to welcome – but also much to fear: http://bit.ly/bT5PzV – by the TUC's @NigelStanle

  2. Shamik Das

    RT @leftfootfwd: Hutton's pensions report: Much to welcome – but also much to fear: http://bit.ly/bT5PzV – by the TUC's @NigelStanley

  3. going to Work

    More from Nigel on Hutton report RT @leftfootfwd: Hutton's pensions report: Much to welcome – but also much to fear http://bit.ly/bT5PzV

  4. Nigel Stanley

    RT @leftfootfwd: Hutton's pensions report: Much to welcome – but also much to fear: http://bit.ly/bT5PzV – by the TUC's @NigelStanley

  5. Hazico_Jo

    RT @leftfootfwd: Hutton's pensions report: Much to welcome – but also much to fear: http://bit.ly/bT5PzV – by the TUC's @NigelStanley

  6. jt

    Hutton's pensions report: Much to welcome – but also much to fear …: But on the positive side, Lord Hutton has f… http://bit.ly/cuXsVH

  7. william

    Any comment on a previous Labour minister’s report on public sector pensions that does not even mention the effect on private sector pensions,caused by the disastrous tax change of GB in 1997,needs to be taken with a pinch of salt.The majority of the electorate work in the Private sector,so they will understably have no sympathy for opposition to a system which gives public sector workers, on average, higher pay, pensions,days off than the private sector.If you had not noticed, the days of paying any part of public sector pensions out of current taxation are gone.there is a huge government borrowing requirement.

  8. Boffy

    The criticism of those at the top of the Public Sector is hypocritical cover, just like the Tories mangled attack on the Child Benefit of better paid workers and the Middle Class. These kinds of inequalities are endemic to Capitalism, but the differences between those at the top and bottom of the Public Sector are as nothing compared with even the huge incoems of those at the top of Private Companies, and even less compared with the tens and hundreds of millions of pounds of income received by the Billionaires just as a return on their Capital!

    It is a cover for attacking the workers below who will suffer more in proportion, just like proposals for bureaucratic control of “High Pay”, will cover harsher and more effective control of ordinary workers pay. The real questions that should be being asked following the Panorama programme last Monday is how come these Financial Institutions get away with creaming off two-thirds of the deposits that workers put into their Pension schemes. How come in the Netherlands, for the same contributions Pensions are 50% higher? Why is it that the Tories are proposing to scrap the NEST scheme?

    But, as I’ve pointed out in my blog Pensions – How Dare They, we should also be asking why it is that the average Local Government worker in Britain receives a pension of just £3,500 p.a., whilst the average pension for a worker in the pension scheme of the Mondragon Co-op is £13,600, and is a Final Salary Scheme with revenues double its benefit payments?

  9. tomneumark

    RT @leftfootfwd: Hutton's pensions report: Much to welcome – but also much to fear: http://bit.ly/bT5PzV – by the TUC's @NigelStanley

  10. mark osborne

    @cathynewman Remember your "fact check" on public sector pensions? Read this: http://j.mp/aHLRF3

  11. Fred

    What i love is Hutton gets £315 a day he also gets a real gold plated pension paid for out of pensions if i remember, he will get something around £45,000 paid out of Tax. But thats OK because like the soldiers on £5.86 an hour he works for the country.

    I sure teachers, nurses, who now get a better wage will be dancing to know they will have to work longer and harder.

    I worked in the building trade most of the people I know are finished by 55 years old most have serious back problems or arthritis. Whoops that OK they will not be affected by this because their pension are shit anyway. To night the average gold plated pension for a teacher is wait for it £7,800. whoopee we better do something about that, myself I start with MP’s and ministers.

  12. Mr. Sensible

    Instead of dragging public pentions down, I think it would be a better idea for the directors of big corporations to improve conditions for their workers.

  13. Churm Rincewind

    While it’s good to find Hutton trying to detoxify the phrase, I’d always thought that the description of public sector pensions as “gold-plated” referred to the fact that unlike public sector pensions they are absolutely guaranteed by the state. Sounds like gold-plating to me.

  14. Tom

    Since when does something being ‘gold-plated’ suggest it’s guaranteed? Surely a better metallic metaphor for that would be something like, say, ‘cast-iron’?

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