SNP on course for Holyrood landslide

Labour could lose every single Scottish constituency next year



The SNP’s lead over Scottish Labour continues unabated, according to new polling conducted by Survation for the Scottish Daily Mail.

When those who are undecided and refused to state a voting intention were excluded, the findings put the SNP on 56 per cent of the vote in the constituency vote for the Scottish Parliament ahead of next year’s elections to Holyrood. This means they are two points higher than Survation’s last Holyrood voting intention poll in late April.

Scottish Labour has fallen from 24 per cent to just 20 per cent, while the Conservatives stand on 14 per cent, the Lib Dems on 7 per cent and others on 4 per cent.

On the regional list vote, the Scottish Greens are polling 11 per cent of the vote – more than double the vote they secured on the regional vote at the 2011 Scottish Parliamentary elections. The SNP are on 45 per cent with Labour on 19 per cent, the Conservatives on 12 per cent, the Lib Dems on 8 per cent and UKIP on  cent

According to an analysis quoted in the Daily Record, if replicated across Scotland such figures would see the number of SNP MSPs increase from the current tally of 69 to 71 whilst. Meanwhile Labour would fall from the 37 seats it currently holds to just 24, losing every single constituency it currently represents.

When asked about their attitudes to independence, 52 per cent of Scots said they would vote against it if there was another vote tomorrow, and 48 per cent would support it.

The survey found also that just over 41 per cent of those questioned would favour another referendum sometime within the next five years, with just 20 per cent saying there should never be another vote.

Assessing the poll findings, Professor John Curtice of Strathclyde University told the Scottish Daily Mail:

“Scotland remains politically divided – and Labour in a mess.

“As a result the SNP appear on course to win another landslide in next year’s Holyrood election, but are unlikely to find themselves in a position where they could hold a second referendum with any confidence.”

On independence. Professor Curtice continued:

“There is no sign that the General Election result either reflects or has brought about increased support for independence.

“Nor is there any sign of an increased appetite for another referendum.”

Scottish Labour’s acting leader Iain Gray agreed with the analysis:

“We are under no illusions that the road to recovery will be anything but long and difficult.”

Ed Jacobs is a contributing editor to Left Foot Forward. Follow him on Twitter

5 Responses to “SNP on course for Holyrood landslide”

  1. Rallan

    … and UKIP on cent.

    Proof read before posting, goddammit!

  2. stevep

    It serves Labour right for abandoning politics of the left. If a whole country says “enough!” and rejects you, then it`s time to take stock.
    Scotland has always been community-focused and left-wing. It can be argued that the SNP MP`s In the commons will bring a breath of fresh air, but they replace much more experienced Labour MP`s.
    An alliance of the left is the way forward in the UK. If a people-focused left-wing manifesto is put forward by Labour openly and honestly, then I think it will chime with a lot of disillusioned southern voters and voters in marginal constituencies. Scotland and Wales would be onside too.
    It`s time for Labour to make the big decision. If it chooses to be Tory-lite again, I fear for it`s future.

  3. swat

    OTOH a week is a long time in politics and 11 months even longer. Many things could change to reverse the fortunes of Labour eg the SNP could be embroiled scandals of sorts, or the Scots suddenly wake up from a dream and find that John McConnell was still leading Scots Labour.

  4. Mike Stallard

    Are there no sensible, good mannered, thoughtful, decent Scotsmen left?

  5. RolftheGanger

    Indeed there are, in the support base and elected representatives of the SNP.
    Labour and Tory Unionist activists are poisonous, though.

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