Concerns about the economy won't stop people voting Conservative
Despite the media backlash against Philip Hammond’s budget, new polling puts the Conservatives 19 points ahed of Labour — their biggest in-government lead in 30 years.
The YouGov/Times poll shows that 55 per cent of people agree that Hammond broke a Conservative manifesto promise by increasing National Insurance contributions (NICs) for the self-employed.
Moreover, 38 per cent believe that the budget was unfair and 45 per cent believe that the country’s economic situation will deteriorate over the next year, compared to just 16 per cent who believe it will get better.
Unfortunately, that doesn’t seem to be enough to shift their votes. 44 per cent of respondents said they would vote Conservative were an election held tomorrow, compared with just 25 per cent who backed Labour.
While some of the research was conducted on Wednesday, before the worse of the budget backlash hit, the results suggest that this budget will have little impact on the Conservatives’ popularity.
This raises serious questions for Labour, since controversial budget measures present a point-scoring opportunity for the opposition. Last year, in the chaotic aftermath of George Osborne’s final budget, Labour hit 33 per cent, one point ahead of the Conservatives.Sign up to Left Foot Forward's weekday email for the latest progressive news and comment - and support campaigning journalism by making a donation today.