Majority believe the Tories broke a manifesto promise – but they’re still 19 points ahead

Concerns about the economy won't stop people voting Conservative


Despite the media backlash against Philip Hammond’s budget, new polling puts the Conservatives 19 points ahed of Labour — their biggest in-government lead in 30 years.

The YouGov/Times poll shows that 55 per cent of people agree that Hammond broke a Conservative manifesto promise by increasing National Insurance contributions (NICs) for the self-employed.

Moreover, 38 per cent believe that the budget was unfair and 45 per cent believe that the country’s economic situation will deteriorate over the next year, compared to just 16 per cent who believe it will get better.

Unfortunately, that doesn’t seem to be enough to shift their votes. 44 per cent of respondents said they would vote Conservative were an election held tomorrow, compared with just 25 per cent who backed Labour.

While some of the research was conducted on Wednesday, before the worse of the budget backlash hit, the results suggest that this budget will have little impact on the Conservatives’ popularity.

This raises serious questions for Labour, since controversial budget measures present a point-scoring opportunity for the opposition. Last year, in the chaotic aftermath of George Osborne’s final budget, Labour hit 33 per cent, one point ahead of the Conservatives.

See: Poor families’ incomes are about to get slammed – but it’s nothing to do with NICs

See: As wages stagnate and working people suffer, Philip Hammond offers dogma instead of hope

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