Brexit is leading in two polls with Leave campaign ahead by up to four points

Immigration case appears to be baring fruit


Two polls over the weekend suggest a sustained lead for Brexit in the campaign over Britain’s membership of the European Union.

Opinium had the leave campaign ahead by 43 per cent to 41 for Remain in a poll for yesterday’s Observer, suggesting a boost for Brexit in recent weeks.

Immigration was listed as the top issue for two in five (41 per cent) of voters, followed by Britain’s ability to make laws free of Brussels (35 per cent).

Only 29 per cent gave the negative impact of Brexit on the economy as their number one issue when deciding how to vote.

This will be a worry for David Cameron and the Remain team, as the government has made economics central to their campaign.

Meanwhile, a YouGov poll for ITV found an even bigger margin for Brexit, with 45 per cent saying they would vote to leave against 41 for staying.

The poll was taken between Wednesday and Friday last week with a relatively large sample of 3,405 people, and released on Good Morning Britain today.

Remainers worry about low turnout, especially among younger voters, less than half of whom intend to vote in the referendum.

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Update: this story has been amended to say Opinum had Remain at 41 per cent, not 40 as previously stated, due to a mistake in the Observer report. See the Opinium results here (page 3).

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