The poll was conducted by and among Tories in a small area of the UK known to be sympathetic to quitting the EU
Today’s Daily Express claims that 80 per cent of British people want to quit the EU.
In what it calls the ‘biggest vote on this country’s ties to Brussels for 40 years’, the paper cites a poll which says that 11,706 out of 14,581 people voted to leave. The Express goes on to claim that the ‘overwhelming’ result boosts its own crusade to get Britain out of Europe.
Yet even the most cursory examination of the polling method used by the paper reveals the results to be skewed to the point of discredit.
The poll was organised by Conservative MPs Peter Bone and Philip Hollobone and Conservative candidate Tom Purslove, and was conducted across their three constituencies in North Northamptonshire – Wellingborough, Kettering and Corby and East Northamptonshire.
In other words, this was a poll of Tories in one section of the country: the three in question are right-wing Tories who organised a poll among their own voters. This isn’t representative, as the Express claims.
In the East Midlands, where the constituencies are situated, UKIP received 32.9 percent of the votes in May’s European elections. Furthermore, UKIP and the Tories are closely aligned in this area.
UKIP have made several attempts to poach Mr Hollobone; in September they delayed selecting a candidate for Kettering because they were sure they could convince him to defect.
Outgoing local party chairman Jonathan Bullock said that ‘his views are exactly those of UKIP, they are not those of David Cameron’. Hollobone refuses to meet with constituents who wear a burqa or niqab, and has attempted to pass a Face Coverings (Prohibition) bill.
Peter Bone, meanwhile, wrote in an editorial for The Guardian in which he claimed that the sole reason he hadn’t defected to UKIP was because only Cameron could deliver a referendum on the EU.
And Tom Pursglove wrote last April for Conservative Home that:
“The British people have been denied their say on our membership of the European Union since 1975. When I am out knocking on doors in Corby and East Northamptonshire as part of my Listening Campaign, people regularly tell me that it is about time they had the chance to have their say.
“It is for that reason that Peter Bone MP, Philip Hollobone MP and I, as the Conservative Parliamentary Candidate for Corby and East Northamptonshire, are today launching a North Northamptonshire wide In-Out EU Referendum”.
So this ‘historic’ poll was conducted among people that the three MPs already knew were sympathetic to their aims and likely to give them the answer they wanted. Even today Bone admitted that, across the country, votes for an exit would ‘not [be] on the scale we have seen in North Northamptonshire’.
This is not to say that there is not a significant number of voters who want to quit the EU. The figures shift constantly, but tend to be roughly split down the middle. A Populus poll last April showed that 35 per cent of those surveyed would vote to stay and 32 per cent to leave.
An Ipsos Mori poll conducted in October indicated the highest level of British support for EU membership since 1991, with 56 per cent voting to stay in.
Ruby Stockham is a staff writer at Left Foot Forward. Follow her on Twitter
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118 Responses to “80 per cent of Britons want to leave the EU, says the Express. Except they don’t”
Leon Wolfeson
Yea, those evil people who were wrong to oppose referendums.
That’d be a Mr. Atlee, and a Mrs. Thatcher.
So, why do you stand well outside their spectrum of views, again?
Mike Stallard
“The EU has a massive web of trade treaties, which we’d not be able to access…”
Rubbish! Look on Wikipedia.
Sometimes I despair.
BigRed
Guest? I see you’ve been active. Good for you. But I also see that you have been brain washed by the elite ConLibLab nancy boys. the UK was and has always been the leader in many fields and will continue to be so. We did alright for hundreds of years without any help from Europe, Europe has been nothing but a drag on us and our resources. We are big enough and industrious without Europe. The Europhiles think we need them, mate you’ve got it all wrong, they need us. Had we gone into the Euro by now we’d be dead meat like Ireland, Greece and the rest. Wake up and smell the coffee. Vote UKIP.
BigRed
Guest, I did not have to read the article because I did not need to. As a Ukipper we know the leftist press and their running mates the ConLibLab nancy boys are in league to try and destroy UKIP. However, us true Brits, the peoples army is marching to 7th May. Vote UKIP to make us great again. All your leftist media are manipulating the Polls, it won’t worry us on the 7th May, rest assured we will soon be out of Europe. Vote UKIP for freedom.
BigRed
Guest, poverty and isolation is to remain in Europe. Greece, Italy, Spain and Ireland come to mind. As a free agent we can trade with the whole world including Europe. I can see Mercedes not wanting to sell their cars to us or Spain not wanting our pounds on the Costa or to buy their pre season veggies and fruits. Get a life, that is not going to happen.
I can’t believe so many people have bought the EU lies perpetuated by the ConLibLab nancy boys.
Vote UKIP you know, or should know, it is the only way out of all the lies.