History should not give cause for optimism for Labour

Ed Miliband needs to conquer is his image problem which, four years on from taking the leadership of the party, remains a noose around the party’s neck.

Ed Miliband needs to conquer is his image problem which, four years on from taking the leadership of the party, remains a noose around the party’s neck

Next year’s General Election will be one in which the near impossible will have occurred whatever the result.

Should the Conservatives seize the levers of powers they will have defied historical precedents and increased its share of the vote whilst in power between elections.

The last time that happened was Harold Wilson in 1974, and even that was a special case which saw the country going to the polls twice in a year as a response to the hung parliament elected in the February of that year.

The re-election of a coalition government, of whatever form, would also be unprecedented in recent electrical history.

What then of the mountain facing Labour as Ed Miliband prepares later today to deliver his final rallying call to the party faithful ahead of the General Election?

His mission is clear – to ensure that Labour remains a one-term opposition. The last time this was achieved however was in 1970, when Edward Heath managed to bring Harold Wilson’s first government to an end after just one term.

History then makes any result next year highly unusual.

What then of the polling?

Since 1979, there have been just three changes in the governing party. Thatcher took the keys of Downing Street from James Callaghan in 1979; Tony Blair comprehensively beat John Major’s Conservatives in 1997 and in 2010 we know what happened.

Based on data within Ipsos Mori’s historical archives, the figures do not bode well for Ed Miliband or the Labour Party more widely.

Looking just at the polling data from the conferences prior to each General Election, in September 1978, ahead of Thatcher’s victory the year after, the data put the Conservatives on 48 per cent against Labour’s 42 per cent.

In September 1996, New Labour had effectively sealed the deal, with the polling having put the party on 52 per cent against the Conservatives 29 per cent.

For the Conservatives in September 2009, Ipsos Mori saw the party polling 36 per cent against Labour on 24 per cent.

The lesson from recent history is clear – the party going into the final conference ahead of the general election has found themselves either winning outright or being the dominate force within government.

With this month’s survey data from Ipsos putting the Tories on 34 per cent, one percentage point ahead of Labour, the party would need to pull a rabbit out of the hat if it is to form a government next year.

But the second mountain Ed Miliband needs to conquer is his image problem which, four years on from taking the leadership of the party, remains a noose around the party’s neck.

Whilst those in Labour circles might point to the polling in September 1978 which put Jim Callaghan ahead of Thatcher when voters were asked who they were most satisfied with, despite the Conservatives going on to win the following year, this remains the exception to the rule.

In September 1996, Blair led Major on satisfaction rates by 13 percentage points whilst David Cameron, at the same time in 2009, enjoyed a 16 percentage point lead over Gordon Brown.

With this month’s Ipsos Mori polling putting David Cameron’s satisfaction ratings at 39 per cent compared to Ed Miliband’s 29 per cent, the Labour leader has everything to do to persuade a sceptical public that the party and he himself in particular is ready to govern for the One Nation he spoke about in Manchester two years ago.

History does not give cause for optimism.

59 Responses to “History should not give cause for optimism for Labour”

  1. Leon Wolfeson

    So you’re a hypocrite. And they’re not JUST heroes to you then, right.

    And you don’t understand Mutualism, no surprise.

    And Labour never represented your far right, as you lash out at the 1970’s Labour Party. Non-working anti-British leeches like you, represent!

  2. InbredBlockhead

    NO WHITE KIDS NEED APPLY.
    Guest-workers only.

  3. InbredBlockhead

    Thursday

    Jun192014

    Ed Miliband – A Shameless Zionist In Our Midst

    Thursday, June 19, 2014 at 5:22PM Gilad Atzmon

    Ed Miliband speech to Labour Friends of Israel

    Introduction By Gilad Atzmon:

    Yesterday, a poll indicated that half of the British voters figure that “Ed Miliband should be dumped as Labour leader before the next general election.”

    Some 49 per cent think that Miliband should be replaced – including 43 per cent of Labour supporters. It is hard to imagine, but Miliband is even less popular than Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg who managed to alienate just 44% of the voters.

    As the Brits were expressing their disapproval of ‘Red Ed’ and his clumsy politics, the Labour leader found the time to socialise with the Jewish Lobby. The following is Ed Miliband’s speech to LFI (Labour Friends Of Israel), the same Zionist Lobby group that funded Blair’s government as it drove Britain into a criminal war in Iraq.

    In his speech, Ed Miliband affirms his deep Zionist affiliation. The verdict on his reign is clear, Miliband should never have been the leader of a major British political party. He would have been better suited for a position as a local Rabbi or a part time job as an Israeli consular.

    On the current events in Palestine, the Jewish Labour leader says,

    “I am sure all of our thoughts today are with the 3 kidnapped Israeli teenagers, Naftali Frenkel, Gilad Shaar, and Eyal Yifrach and their families. We all profoundly hope for their speedy and safe return.”

    For whatever reason, the Labour leader fails to share his sympathies with thethousands of Palestinians who have been kidnapped by the Jewish State and have been rotting in Israeli jails for decades. It hasn’t been clearly established that the 3 Israeli settler teenagers were abducted. As time has passed, more and more analysts believe that the recent affair may be another Israeli false flag operation. Remember that the Mossad’s motto is ‘By Way of Deception.’ As we review the available evidence, we see that the ‘kidnap’ provides Israel with an opportunity to hit hard at Palestinian civilians and leadership.

    It doesn’t take long for the Labour leader’s speech to exhibit the complete panoply of Jewish tribal commitment. He reminds the Lobby that he speaks as

    “a Jew, as a (Jewish) son, a (Jewish) grandson and a (Jewish) father.”

    The Labour leader makes sure that his LFI supporters know that it was El Al that schlepped him to the promised land. “We travelled out on the El Al flight LY316 three days before Passover.” For some reason, I would expect the leader of a major British party to fly British Airways and support the British economy. Could anyone imagine Miliband bragging about flying El Al in the Parliament? But in a sealed kosher environment, the rules of engagement are very different.

    Soon the Labour leader starts to drip the holy water of the Holocaust and the primacy of Jewish suffering.

    “First, being approach(ed) by the assistant to the President of the Hebrew University, who said to me: ‘My grandmother was in hiding in the same Belgian village as your grandmother.’”

    And the Shoa goes on.

    “As I left Yad Vashem I was handed a collection of documents about my family including new information, 70 years later, about what happened to my grandfather and where he perished.”

    And again,

    “The new Yad Vashem tells an overwhelming story of the greatest single stain on the conscience of humanity – the Holocaust.”

    As many scholars have pointed out, the Holocaust is the new religion of the Jews. However, it is reasonable to expect that, whatever his religion, the British Labour leader be a true socialist and universalist dedicated to justice for the British people and not just the concerns of his own tribe.

    Apparently, at some point the Jewish ethnic campaigner who currently fronts the Labour realises that he might have gone too far.

    “But I did not simply go as a Jew returning to his family’s roots, but also as someone who wants to be the next Prime Minister of this country.”

    This is exactly the crux of the problem. If the so-called ‘Red Ed’ wants to the Prime Minister of Britain, he must display genuine concern for Workless Class Brits rather than focus on his privileged Jewish brethren in Israel and their forceful Lobby in Britain. Is he capable of this shift? Yesterday’s poll suggests that half the Brits grasp Ed’s incompetence. It will be interesting to see how the Brits react after Ed’s tribal commitment to his people is fully exposed.

    Like his brother, David, who gave the green light for Israeli operation Cast Lead in the name of the British people. our current Labour leader is consumed by the suffering of one people who happen to be his. “We visited Sderot and I saw the rockets that had been fired from Gaza and landed in that town.” Did the Jewish Labour leader visit Gaza just a few miles further down the road to inspect the carnage inflicted by the Jewish State? Did he even consider viewing the condition of the biggest open-air prison known to man? If Miliband visited Gaza, he certainly didn’t share that with the LFI.

    As Miliband reaches the end of his speech he reviews the situation in Iraq. “With the unfolding situation in Iraq, we are also reminded of the security situation that Israel faces beyond its borders. Iraq is today facing fundamental threats to its integrity, security and stability.” He neatly omits to apportion responsibility to Lord Levy and the LFI who led the support for Blair’s Government as it launched the 2nd Gulf War. The architects of that genocide were Zionist Neocons who enjoyed enthusiastic support from Jewish Chronicle writers such as Nick Cohen and David Aaronovitch. I realised recently that Instead of chasing Tony Blair, who was probably a naïve Shabbos Goy puppet, it would be smart to investigate, for the first time, the role of the Jewish Lobby in this disastrous affair. I am certain that The Guardian Of Zion and The Observer of Judea are not going to lead the journalistic inquiry.

    At the end of his speech Miliband kindly provides the full rationale for why no Brit should consider voting Labour as long as it is ran by a Zionist Jew.

    “I want you to know that if I become Prime Minister in less than a year’s time, I will be proud to do so as a friend of Israel, a Jew and, most of all, someone who feels so proud to be part of the community gathered here today.”

    Britain doesn’t need a ‘Friend of Israel’ in Number 10 Downing Street. It needs friend of the British people, an ally of truth and justice and not a Zionist merchant. It needs a humanist and a universalist, instead of an imbecilic tribal operator who sees the world from a kosher perspective driven by the primacy of Jewish suffering.

    The following speech serves to convince every proud Brit that the time is ripe to cleanse British public life of Zionists and Jerusalemites. Britain needs to search for its path back to Athens, ethics and the universal so that it can reminds itself its greatness and its role in Western civilization.

    —-

  4. InbredBlockhead

    Yawn.

  5. InbredBlockhead

    Read and understand English, before commenting.

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