“The results are in: Keynesians have been completely right, Austerians utterly wrong - at vast human cost” - so wrote Nobel laureate Paul Krugman today.
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“The results are in: Keynesians have been completely right, Austerians utterly wrong – at vast human cost” – so wrote Nobel prize winning economist Paul Krugman in the New York Times following yesterday’s announcement Britain is in a double-dip recession.
He is, of course, absolutely right; for starters, compare our own austerity-driven failure to the fate of the US economy. As Left Foot Forward reported yesterday, the US economy is now 0.8 per cent above its pre-crisis peak, while the UK economy is 4.3 per cent below, as Graph 1 shows.
Graph 1:
Krugman adds:
“It’s important to understand that what we’re seeing isn’t a failure of orthodox economics. Standard economics in this case – that is, economics based on what the profession has learned these past three generations, and for that matter on most textbooks – was the Keynesian position.
“The austerity thing was just invented out of thin air and a few dubious historical examples to serve the prejudices of the elite…
“I wish I could believe that this would really be enough for us to move on and consider what can be done, now that we know that the ideas behind recent policy were all wrong. But that’s wishful thinking, I suppose.
“Nobody ever admits that they were wrong, and Austerian ideas clearly have an emotional and political appeal that is resilient to any and all evidence.”
• Krugman savages the “austerity debacle” 30 Jan 2012
• Krugman: Coalition is “bleeding” Britain dry 1 Dec 2011
• Obama/Cameron love-in comes unstuck over cuts 25 May 2011
• Krugman joins chorus for Tobin tax 30 Nov 2009
• Krugman: balanced budget would be “worst thing for future generations” 29 Sep 2011
And it’s not just progressive economists saying so – some on the right are finally coming round to recognising the insanity of extreme austerity.
The Daily Beast’s Andrew Sullivan writes:
“If austerity kills growth and thereby revenues, the debt problem can worsen. And Britain, remember, isn’t in the eurozone; it has some currency flexibility to ride some of the shocks. Even so, the passage this ship has to pass through to growth and lower debt is getting narrower and the rocks and tides more treacherous.
“The goal of structural fiscal balance within one five-year parliament has already been abandoned in the face of reality.
“As I’ve said before, I have a long record of fiscal hawkishness. I’m a Tory and want them to succeed. But the one time I worry about fiscal retrenchment is in a period of global recession, where premature austerity can hurt, not help.
“The key is to stimulate enough to get the economy moving on its own momentum and then phase in serious long term structural budget cuts and tax reform.”
134 Responses to “Krugman: “Keynesians have been completely right, Austerians utterly wrong””
tangentreality
You may notice from my use of language in some of my other posts that I am anything but a corporatist. But, by all means, keep in reinforcing your own prejudices if it comforts you.
Again, history has repeatedly demonstrated that capitalism – not corporatism, but CAPITALISM, and there is a difference – has been consistently the best vehicle for making EVERYONE richer.
I’m not saying the free market is perfect. I’m saying it’s far better than the alternatives. Because every time socialism has been tried, it’s resulted in crushing poverty and/or a giant pile of dead bodies.
tangentreality
Precisely my point – it hasn’t worked.
The moral issue of taxing the poor can be resolved by simply not taxing them. Increasing the Income Tax allowance is a good way of doing this.
Even if tax cuts are spent on ‘temporary pleasures’, we still do have some taxes on consumption. And people still have to supply those ‘temporary pleasures’, which in turn will lead to jobs and growth.
H. O.
RT @leftfootfwd: Krugman: “Keynesians have been completely right, Austerians utterly wrong” http://t.co/O18jaHIr
Anonymous
History has proven nothing such. Capitalism has been the engine of generating massive imbalanced in wealth which has caused the great recession, repeated recessions since then and the massive shift from ages to capital which has caused the current recession.
The free market is different and separable from the free market, which is indeed important. That you would call, say, the Nordic countries as being in “serious poverty” is a bad joke, that’s where the UK is headed thanks to your kind of policy.
You’re a PURE corporatist.
Tangent Reality
Having a lovely little discussion with a hard-left dinosaur over at http://t.co/BOVlX8pc – 'tis most amusing. Making I LOL