For the second week running, a poll series has put Labour ahead of the Conservatives for the first time in three years. Just like last week's Times/Populus poll, a ComRes poll for today's Independent gives Labour a narrow lead, up three points on 37 per cent, with the Conservatives down five points on 35 per cent and the Liberal Democrats up two points on 16 per cent.
For the second week running, a poll series has put Labour ahead of the Conservatives for the first time in three years. Just like last week’s Times/Populus poll, a ComRes poll for today’s Independent gives Labour a narrow lead, up three points on 37 per cent, with the Conservatives down five points on 35 per cent and the Liberal Democrats up two points on 16 per cent.
If replicated at a general election, the results would give Labour a 16-seat majority and see Ed Miliband catapaulted into Downing Street. The poll, carried out in the wake of the spending review, shows two-fifths of those who voted Lib Dem at the election would not do so now – with 27 per cent saying they would vote Labour.
This is the sixth opinion poll since the election to show Labour in the lead, as the scattergraph below illustrates:
Labour enjoyed more support from women in the poll, with 38% compared to the Conservatives on 34%. The Tories are almost level with Labour amongst men, by 37% to 36%. The Independent believes this reflects the nature of the public sector cuts which will disproportionately affect women:
“The findings point to a ‘gender gap’ after predictions that the cuts will hurt women more than men, partly because of the 500,000 job losses expected in the public sector over the next four years.”
Political Betting says the ComRes poll will bring “some cheer” to the red camp and “will perhaps take some pressure off the yellows”. Political Betting also points out that phone polls historically favour Labour, whilst online polls tend to favour the Conservatives. The latest YouGov daily tracker, meanwhile, puts the Conservatives ahead on 41 per cent, with Labour on 39 per cent and the Lib Dems on 11 per cent.
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4 Responses to “Another Tory poll fall in wake of spending review”
Hazico_Jo
RT @leftfootfwd: Another Tory poll fall in wake of spending review: http://bit.ly/9YVEcA
Shamik Das
RT @leftfootfwd: Another Tory poll fall in wake of spending review: http://bit.ly/9YVEcA http://myloc.me/dLUDg
Bryony Victoria King
RT @shamikdas: RT @leftfootfwd: Another Tory poll fall in wake of spending review: http://bit.ly/9YVEcA http://myloc.me/dLUDg
Wendy Maddox
Funny, only the YouGov poll puts the Tories in lead: RT @leftfootfwd: Another Tory poll fall in wake of spending review http://bit.ly/9YDDTz