There was more grim poll news for David Cameron today, with a significant fall in perceptions of coalition competence over the past year.
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There was more grim poll news for David Cameron today, with a significant fall in perceptions of coalition competence over the past year, as Chart 1 shows.
An Ipsos Mori survey for tonight’s Standard reveals only 34% think the coalition will be able to react quickly in a crisis (down from 53% in April last year); 39% think it provides stable government (55% last April); 28% believe it is dealing with the economic crisis effectively (42% last April); and only 26% believe it is working as a united team (43% last April).
Chart 1:
Only 33% of voters are satisfied with the prime minister, with 60% dissatisfied – a net satisfaction rating of -27, compared to -18 for Ed Miliband (33% satisfied, 51% dissatisfied). Nick Clegg, meanwhile, has a net rating of -38, with 64% unhappy with his performance and just 26% pleased with him.
And for George Osborne, the poll is not much better – only 16% think the economy will improve in the next year, down from 29% before his widely-panned ‘omnishambles’ budget. Nearly fifty per cent of those polled think things will get worse.
Overall, Labour have are on 44% (up four points on June), the Conservatives are on 31% (unchanged), and the Lib Dems are on 12% (+2). It is Labour’s biggest lead over the Conservatives for five years.
• Poll: Cameron seen as out of touch, out of ideas, weak, indecisive and dislikeable 16 Jul 2012
The latest findings follow the weekend’s Sunday Times/YouGov poll which showed the public view the Tory leader as dislikeable (44%-42%), indecisive (47%-40%), weak (47%-38%), out of ideas (52%-32%) and out of touch (66%-23%). The summer recess and Olympics can’t come soon enough for the coalition.
31 Responses to “Further poll blow for Cameron as Labour take biggest lead for five years”
Anonymous
This Ipsos/Mori poll is actually best understood in two parts as Mori uses a filter system to ask a secondary question of how likely you are to vote.Without the filter the poll supports the 9% Labour lead of YouGov’s daily poll.The 13% lead is filtered by the secondary question and is higher because far more Labour voters told Mori they were definitely vote than Tories.The conclusion is that it is the Tory “stay at homes” who are making the 4% difference.
One other point is that the LibDems probably reached their nadir around the Budget but their clear differentiation,over HoL reform for example,has led some of their core voters returning to the LibDem fold.They are consistently polling now around 12% rather than around 9%.
If Labour can consistently poll around the 13% mark,the november Police Commissioner elections could be very interesting.If it is 15% next May surprises are likely to be in store for the Tories in the shire counties heartland.
The slight reduction for Ed’s leadership is of concern as his leadership will come under attack as the Tories get desperate and dirty.Despite this he is a fine young man who more and more is defining his leadership.We just need to see more of him.
David W
Let me state the obvious Labour have left the self created economic train wreck behind them, and have not provided any fully costed cohesive alternative austerity plans. but wisely spent their time shooting wildly at the coalition and scoring points, does anybody really trust Labour to run the country again with their past history….surely not, the coalition needs to be taken to the vets and humainley put down.
liversedge
“does anybody really trust Labour to run the country again with their past history….surely not”
Did you read the article? Its not too tricky to find the answer, clue: its in the last sentence.
Vicky Thomson
Further poll blow for Cameron as Labour take biggest lead for five years I Shamik Das – http://t.co/yedbkq0h
BevR
RT @leftfootfwd: Further poll blow for Cameron as Labour take biggest lead for five years http://t.co/fbc9YJg4