Four recent polls show a big swing for Leave
Britain looks increasingly likely given two recent polls showing a significant swing towards a Leave vote next Thursday.
This morning the Times reports a seven-point lead for Leave, by 46 per cent to 39 per cent for Remain, in a poll by YouGov – the largest lead for Brexit since the start of this campaign.
Eleven per cent said they don’t know how they would vote, while four per cent said they would abstain.
Without these two categories, Leave rises to 54 per cent, against 46 per cent for Remain.
The Times also reports a swing in favour of Brexit among women and 25 to 49-year-olds.
Several recent polls have given similar results. As the Times notes:
‘An ICM poll for The Guardian yesterday gave the Brexit campaign a six-point lead, with Leave on 53 per cent and Remain on 47 per cent, while an ORB poll for The Daily Telegraph has put Leave on 49 per cent among those certain to vote on June 23, one point ahead of Remain.
Another ORB poll on Friday for The Independent put Leave on 55 per cent and Remain on 45.’
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