Is François Hollande the next president of France?

Jack Storry reports from the speech by Axelle Lemaire building support for François Hollande in London on Tuesday night.


Jack Storry is the International Officer of the Young Fabians

“In 75 days France will elect a new President.”

That is how Axelle Lemaire, Parti Socialiste candidate for the Northern Europe constituency in the coming French legislative elections, began her speech at Tuesday’s event in Parliament hosted by the Young Fabians and Labour Movement for Europe. It was a stark reminder of just how close the second most populous country in Europe is to electing its next President.

Lemaire described it as her deepest wish that Parti Socialiste candidate François Hollande is elected as the next president of France, and when asked whether she thought he would be, answered with a clear “Yes”. She cited three factors for her confidence – Hollande’s strong position, Sarkozy’s weaknesses and the context of the election.

Lemaire first highlighted the strong polling position of Hollande. Polling in recent days has shown Hollande extend his lead in the first round to 8 points and his margin in a head-to-head runoff with Sarkozy to 16 points (58 per cent – 42 per cent). This follows a trend over the last month which has shown consistent and growing leads for Hollande.

Lemaire then turned her focus to the poor record of President Nicolas Sarkozy. She said his record was 2.8 million people unemployed, a rising budget deficit, rising public debt and the loss of France’s AAA credit rating.

Lemaire also attacked Sarkozy on the lack of a legacy, saying:

“After five years there is not one single reform that he can put forward as having effectively changed the county”

It is clear that the French left have a finely tuned attack line on Sarkozy and intend to make his record a key issue of the campaign.

Finally, Lemaire stated she felt the context of the election was a strength for Hollande. The election is taking place at a time when the right in France is failing to respond to the economic crisis and people are can see left is a genuine alternative. Lemaire said there is a distinct feeling that this election is a now or never moment.

Whether Hollande is able to capture the Palais de l’Élysée on May 6th remains to be seen, but it is clear that the Parti Socialiste find themselves the best position in more than a decade to do so.

See also:

How can we have fairer capitalism?Sara Ibrahim, January 13th 2012

Cameron didn’t sign EU deal because it’s not in the interests of the one per centShamik Das, December 9th 2011

Eurozone crisis: A threat or a promise from the credit rating agencies?Ben Fox, December 6th 2011

French primaries point the way for democracyWill Straw, October 11th 2011

Where does NATO, Cameron, and the West stand after the Libyan intervention?Marcus Roberts, August 22nd 2011

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19 Responses to “Is François Hollande the next president of France?”

  1. Political Planet

    Is François Hollande the next president of France?: Jack Storry reports from the speech by Axelle Lemaire buildi…

  2. Patron Press - #P2

    #UK : Is François Hollande the next president of France?

  3. Pulp Ark

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  4. leftlinks

    Left Foot Forward – Is François Hollande the next president of France?

  5. Selohesra

    There is something wrong with the world when the main candidates (from all sides) in France, US & UK are so useless. I’m sure when I was younger politicians were of higher calibre

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