Voting over – but will the race come down to MPs’ second preferences?

With voting now over, it looks like the Labour leadership race will be neck-and-neck - and could come down to Abbott/Balls/Burnham supporters’ 2nd preferences.

As polls close, the consensus in Westminster is the Labour leadership race is neck-and-neck between the two Milibands – a claim first made by Left Foot Forward in July. With the result in the balance, there’s every reason to think it will come down to the second preferences of MPs backing the threes outsiders: Diane Abbott, Ed Balls, and Andy Burnham.

Left Foot Forward has learned that shadow housing minister and Ed Balls supporter John Healey will give his second preference to Ed Miliband. Mr Healey spoke to us earlier this week and we will publish our full interview with him tomorrow.

There is still great uncertainty over where the second preferences of the 80 MPs who said they’re voting for Abbott, Balls or Burnham will end up. Left Foot Forward only has inteligence on nine of those 80. If you are in the CLP of one of the remaining 71 MPs (listed below), why not ask them how they used their second preference. Please let us know in the comments or by tweeting #2ndpref.

These are the MPs:

Diane Abbott (1st pref. Diane Abbott)
David Anderson (EB)
Ian Austin (EB)
Ed Balls (EB)
Kevin Barron (AB)
Joe Benton (AB)
Clive Betts (AB)
Hazel Blears (AB)
Tom Blenkinsop (EB)
Kevin Brennan (EB)
Lyn Brown (EB)
Andy Burnham (AB)
Ronnie Campbell (DA)
Tom Clarke (AB)
Vernon Coaker (EB)
Michael Connarty (AB)
Yvette Cooper (EB)
Jeremy Corbyn (DA)
David Crausby (EB)
Jim Cunningham (EB)
Nick Dakin (AB)
Ian Davidson (DA)
Jim Dobbin (EB)
Thomas Docherty (AB)
Frank Doran (AB)
Michael Dugher (EB)
Paul Farrelly (AB)
Robert Flello (AB)
Sheila Gilmore (DA)
Paul Goggins (AB)
Kate Green (EB)
Nia Griffith (EB)
Andrew Gwynne (EB)
Stephen Hepburn (EB)
Julie Hilling (AB)
Sharon Hodgson (EB)
Kelvin Hopkins (DA)
Lindsay Hoyle (AB)
Huw Irranca Davies (AB)
Siân C. James (DA)
Cathy Jamieson (AB)
Diana R. Johnson (EB)
Helen Jones (EB)
Kevan Jones (AB)
Eric Joyce (EB)
Barbara Keeley (EB)
Chris Leslie (EB)
Khalid Mahmood (EB)
Stephen McCabe (EB)
Kerry McCarthy (EB)
Andrew Miller (AB)
Austin Mitchell (AB)
John Robertson (EB)
Geoffrey Robinson (EB)
Steve Rotheram (AB)
Brian Simpson (AB)
Marsha Singh (EB)
Dennis Skinner (DA)
Andrew Smith (EB)
John Spellar (EB)
Gerry Sutcliffe (AB)
Jon Trickett (DA)
Karl Turner (AB)
Derek Twigg (AB)
Joan Walley (AB)
Tom Watson (EB)
Dave Watts (AB)
Malcolm Wicks (AB)
Mike Wood (DA)
David Wright (EB)
Iain Wright (EB)

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16 Responses to “Voting over – but will the race come down to MPs’ second preferences?”

  1. Rosie

    RT @leftfootfwd: Voting over – but will the race come down to MPs’ second preferences? @DMiliband or @Ed_Miliband?

  2. Ell Aitch

    RT @leftfootfwd: Voting over – but will the race come down to MPs’ second preferences? @DMiliband or @Ed_Miliband?

  3. Martin Johnston

    gotta be Millband the younger for me RT @leftfootfwd: Voting over, will the race come down to MPs 2nd preferences?

  4. The Old Politics

    Last tweet refers to @leftfootfwd's second preferences project – join in:

  5. Isabelle

    Your list is rather out of date. Sheila Gilmore, Tom Clarke, Dennis Skinner, Nic Dakin, and Huw Iranca Davies gave their 1st pref to David Miliband so 2nd pref will probably not matter. Jon Trickett and Cathy Jamieson gave Ed Miliband their 1st pref. Tom Watson and Eric Joyce said on Twitter that they will give Ed Mili their 2nd pref. Tom Blenkinsop, Geoffrey Robinson, Thomas Doucherty, and Chris Leslie will five their 2nd prefs to David Mili. Lindsay Hoyle and Michael Connarty will give their 1st prefs to Ed Balls. Is this the information you gave to YouGove for their polls? If so, then YouGov needs to get a better partner. Many of these names were known weeks ago.

  6. Isabelle

    Kevan Jones also gave David Miliband his 1st pref. Labour List has all the updated MPs.

  7. Arminius

    I believe Kate Green will put Ed Miliband and Paul Goggins will put David; this isn’t a guarantee but a fairly reliable rumour!

  8. Samuel Tarry

    RT @leftfootfwd: Voting over – but will the race come down to MPs’ second preferences? @DMiliband or @Ed_Miliband?

  9. Brian Gilmore

    Sheila Gilmore held an open ‘primary’ amongst labour voters in Edinburgh East and as a result has placed her 1st preference vote for David illiband

  10. Midland Lad

    Ian Austin will be 2nd preferencing David Miliband. Tom Watson will be 2nd preferencing Ed Miliband, as will be Sharon Hodgson.

  11. Isabelle

    joan walley also gave 1st pref to Ed Miliband

  12. Billy Blofeld

    Personally I’m willing Ed Miliband on for 2 reasons:

    1. He will take Labour further left.

    2. It will demonstrate the lunacy of the voting system.

  13. Robert

    Does it matter it will be the same again with Blair’s smug face telling us new Labour is alive and well , which sadly it will be.

    It’s a pity really but right now the best we can hope for is that the Tories will pull the country out of the mess, the liberals will get back to being liberals and Labour stay out of power until we get fed up with the concervatives.

    Politics at it’s best

  14. Free_d

    Austin Mitchell wrote in the Times today that although he nominated Andy Burnham “to get him in the game” he would be voting Ed as fist pref and David second.

  15. Liz McShane

    Free – d – I hope that wasn’t a freudian slip (‘Ed as fist pref)’……!

  16. Adrian White

    Andrew Gwynne put Ed M 2nd Pref I think

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