Final polls give Remain the edge

Pound surges as Remain nudges ahead, but campaigners will warn against complacency

Ballot box elections voting

 

Two polls published today show a stretching lead for Remain.

An Ipsos MORI poll for the Evening Standard shows 52 per cent (+5) for Remain and 48 per cent (-5) for Brexit, while a Populus poll (conducted online) shows 55 for Remain and 45 for Brexit.

However, Remain campaigners are emphasising that the gap is still extremely narrow and warning against complacency, with fears that rain or over-confidence could depress turnout, to Leave’s benefit.

Sterling has surged in response to the polls, to over $1.49, suggesting significant market confidence in Remain.

Yesterday, ComRes found 48 per cent of respondents said they would be voting to Remain, while 42 per cent said they would vote to Leave – a six per cent lead for Remain, while YouGov had a closer result of 51 per cent for Remain and 49 for Brexit.

Polling over the last six months has shown a close race, but with Remain ahead more often than not, and some back and forth during the final weeks of the campaign.

To read up on the issues of the EU referendum, see our list of must-read articles here. 

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