Voters not keen on coalition 2.0

The country is yet to be convinced of the benefits of coalition government.

The country is yet to be convinced of the benefits of coalition government

As the year draws to a close, eyes in Westminster and beyond will be fixed firmly on May’s General Election.

The polls are clear – barring some miraculous turnaround in the fortunes of either Labour or the Conservatives, the country is heading for another hung Parliament.

Against this backdrop, Ipsos Mori has released data as part of its final political monitor for the year showing that the country is yet to be convinced as to the benefits of coalition government.

Firstly, the polling shows that 63 per cent of voters now believe a coalition government is the likely result in May (25 per cent very likely, 38 per cent fairly likely). This is up from the 51 per cent who thought it was likely in January (14 per cent very likely compared to 37 per cent fairly likely).

However such a prediction should not be viewed as an endorsement for this form of government. Almost two-thirds (65 per cent) of respondent said that a coalition government would be a bad thing for the country, the same proportion as recorded in January.

Interestingly, however, the proportion of those believing the current coalition between the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats has been bad for the country has fallen slightly to 56 per cent, down from the 60 per cent recorded in January.

Commenting on the findings, Gideon Skinner, head of political research at Ipsos MORI, said:

“As the year ends, the prospect of another coalition is growing more likely in voters’ minds – a reflection of the historically low levels of support they are giving the main parties, even while the same voters maintain they don’t like the idea of coalitions. There are differences even within the current coalition too – Liberal Democrats are over twice as likely as Conservative voters to think another Coalition is what Britain needs.”

Ed Jacobs is a contributing editor to Left Foot Forward

31 Responses to “Voters not keen on coalition 2.0”

  1. RightFootForward

    Anything to stop Labour getting back in, after the mess they caused before 2010.

  2. swat

    And yet they the electorate voted in a coalition Govt, denying no Party a majority!
    Which just goes to show that the electorate never really know what they want, until it actually happens.Most will be relieved that neither the Tories nor Labour won an outright majority to give them the license to do whatever they liked. The same will happen in 2015.

  3. Guest

    Yea, how dare wages not keep falling forever!

  4. Leon Wolfeson

    The Tories got 99.9% of what they wanted, and the LibDems committed electoral suicide. Not quite your narrative.

    The reality is that “coalitions” under FPTP suck because the “Parties” are already large coalitions. It’s FPTP which is and remains the problem.

  5. Gary Scott

    Both parties will do ANYTHING to avoid coalition. LibDems will likely be annihilated so the only deal on the table would be with the combined Green/Plaid/SNP. They would only consent to deal with Labour of course but ONLY on condition of non-renewal of Trident which they’ve already stated. This would be contrary to Labour policy in favour of having and renewing nuclear weapons. The Tories would only be able to form a coalition with UKIP in that case. It seems unlikely that UKIP would have enough seats to make this feasible. Both major parties would be keen to polarise the vote, although it looks like this would be at the second time of asking. Another GE will be forced upon us by those whose hunger for power is greater than their desire to serve (all of them!)

  6. AlanGiles

    The two main parties give the impression of having inane “leadership”, the LibDems probably have committed suicide, Nigel Farage is a music hall turn.

    Could any one of them be trusted with a clear majority. Miliband is weak, but I think the even bigger problem is Balls – and I suspect that Miliband would be saddled for the whole of his premiership (if he got it) with Balls just as Auntie Tony was stuck with Uncle Gordon

  7. CGR

    Coalition openly arramged and agreed or the quiet hidden coalition of the pro-EU LibLabCon establishment?

  8. Mike B

    Peacetime coalitions are little more than a way for second rate politicians from minor parties to get a slice of the action. The Lib Dems got what they wished for in 2010 and hopefully will pay a huge price in May. A Labour majority is far from impossible but let’s face it people vote for parties not coalitions. All to play for.

  9. littleoddsandpieces

    There is a Labour leaning blog so desperate as now calling The Greens a Nazi party, of fascistic beliefs, when The Greens are unlikely to win more than the 1 MP they already have.

    Labour can wina majority if it did a u-turn in its policies to repeal the Coalition’s

    Pension Bills 2010-2014, that has led to the flat rate pension 2016 that will mean

    NIL STATE PENSION FOR LIFE and LESS NOT MORE state pension

    for women born from 1953 and men born from 1951,

    already denied pay out of state pension for 7 years from 2013, when the ring fenced and full National Insurance Money has the money sitting pretty since 2013 and wrongly being called a surplus.

    https://you.38degrees.org.uk/petitions/state-pension-at-60-now

    As the equalising the state pension at 60 for men and women would cost nothing in 2015 from the full NI Fund, it would also solve the half of over 60s inside the working poor’s cost of living crisis as it would mean not having to pay 12 per cent of wage in NI deductions each year from those 20 per cent lowest income.

    Balls is indeed a millstone round Miliband’s neck and needs to be reshuffled out or Balls gain an epiphany moment and grab and make better the automatic Citizen Income in the Greens’ policy website but not yet in its 2015 manifesto pledges, that would solve starvation for all immediately.

    And The Greens offer a full state pension for all citizens, irregarldless of NI contribution / credit history, to same amount and more of the Citizen Income that is not yet in The Greens’ 2015 manifesto, whereas the current pension bills abolish or reduce the state pension just when the poor are getting poorer, even being observed so by the rich people’s newspaper The Times, who say benefit reform is causing preventable impoverishment. So Labour could also steal a march with bettering that Greens’ policy.

    https://you.38degrees.org.uk/petitions/state-pension-at-60-now

  10. Guest

    Keep fighting that “quiet coalition”, Democracy.

  11. Leon Wolfeson

    No, people under FPTP generally vote for coalitions which call themselves parties.

    That’s a good bit of the problem with FPTP, and can only be fixed by ditching it for PR.

  12. Leon Wolfeson

    Yea, that evil democracy.

    In fact, the issue is and remains FPTP.

  13. Mike B

    Of course all parties are in a sence coalitions but they present a programme at election time which in Britain at least coalitions have not. So all those who voted LD last time did not vote for a Conservative lead government.

  14. Leon Wolfeson

    Er, no. Parties under FPTP are coalitions, whereas it’s very rare in countries which use PR. There’s no “sense” involved, Labour, Tories and LibDems *are* already coalitions.

    And better to be able to vote for people who represent your views under PR, rather than a “party” where one faction, one which may be marginalised, represent your views under FPTP.

    PR brings parties much closer to the views of their voters.

  15. Godfrey Paul

    The leader of the Greens was on the World At One today and, although I disagree with almost every policy, she sounded very impressive. No wonder Milibean and his BBC doesn’t want her in any debates !!!

  16. AlanGiles

    But at the moment the two main parties have second rate leaders – and the front benches of both parties are packed with mediocre career politicians

  17. Mike B

    Think we are going to have to disagree on this one Leon. FPTP is one argument and coalitions are another. I remember at the beginning of the referendum campaign thinking I might vote against FPTP but the arguments from Ashdown and others were so over blown that I changed my mind. Anyway to get back to coalitions I vote Labour but which ever party I would feel pretty agreived if I voted one way and ended up with an MP supporting the very things I opposed. This is what happened here in Hornsey and Wood Green where many of my neighbours have been let down by a LD acting as a surrogate Conservative. Let parties argue their case and take the consequences. Seasons greetings.

  18. ForeignRedTory

    ‘PR brings parties much closer to the views of their voters.’
    That’s very true, but PR isn’t going to happen in the UK for a generation or so.

    So: now what?

  19. Leon Wolfeson

    I’ll fight against your anti-PR attitudes.

  20. Leon Wolfeson

    What? AV is not PR.

    And they voted for one *type* of LibDem, which means absolutely you get a different wing of the party in dominance, as they’re a coalition, and your vote’s devalued. That’s what PR fixes, to a large extent.

  21. Guest

    Keep making up nonsense about the government-toe-sucking BBC.

  22. Mike B

    No strong feelings on AV or PR but not convinced.

  23. Leon Wolfeson

    ….AV and PR are very different to each other.

  24. Selohesra

    Maybe they will have a coalition of ”all the talents’ – there again they might struggle to get enough to fill the cabinet

  25. Steve MC

    Labour were fixing a mess caused by the City Financiers that donate millions to the Tory Party.

  26. swat

    The public always whinge; they weren’t even keen on the Wartime Coalition either.
    There’s no pleasing some people.

  27. ForeignRedTory

    Since I actually prefer PR, wasted effort.
    Voting Reform is not on the agenda for a generation.

    So, now what?

  28. Leon Wolfeson

    You evidently prefer FPTP, as you oppose voting reform this generation.
    Start by stopping blatently lying.

  29. ForeignRedTory

    You’re talking crap. I come from a PR country and I would darned well prefer it installed here too, best with the German 5% clause, to keep the nutcases out of of Parliament. No more Kippers? No BNP, no respect-party? Brilliant, AFAIC.

    But guess what? There was a referendum, the public did not want reform, and the matter is dead in the water, until 2030 of so.

  30. Leon Wolfeson

    The referendum rejected AV, which is not proportional.

    *You* don’t want to discuss it to 2030 or so, don’t blame anyone else for your views!

  31. Keith M

    Agree

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