A happy Christmas for Sturgeon as SNP ride high in the polls

The SNP go into Christmas backed by a record proportion of supporters.

The SNP go into Christmas backed by a record proportion of supporters

The SNP are celebrating an early Christmas present today with news that they now have a record breaking proportion of voters supporting them.

According to new polling conducted by Survation for the Daily Record, when asked how they would vote in next May’s General Election 48 per cent said the SNP, up 2 percentage points since November and up from the 20 per cent of the vote it secured in 2010.

Scottish Labour meanwhile remains on 24 per cent, down by 18 percentage points on their performance in 2010.

The Conservatives are down one point on their performance in November at 16 per cent, the Lib Dems are down one on 5 per cent whilst UKIP and the Greens are on 5 per cent and 1 per cent respectively.

According to the Electoral Calculus website, if replicated in May this would leave Labour loosing 37 seats, reduced to just four, whilst the SNP would land themselves 54 seats in the House of Commons, 48 more than they have at present. The Lib Dems would have just one seat north of the border.

Meanwhile following his election as Leader, Survation asked voters about what impact Jim Murphy would have had the helm of Scottish Labour. Whilst 14 per cent said that it would make them more likely to vote Labour, 18 per cent said it would make them less likely to do so. 57 per cent said it would make no difference at all.

A quarter of those polled  said that Labour would be more successful in Scotland under Murphy’s leadership, compared to 16 per cent who didn’t think it would turn the party’s fortunes around.

Responding to the polling, Professor John Curtice of Strathclyde University commented:

“Murphy is not the magic bullet. It is going to require more than a new kid on the block – he has to persuade people that May is not a re-run of the referendum.”

The survey data will make for an uncomfortable Christmas for Labour. Already faced with a difficult electoral climate next May, the prospect looks ever more likely of Ed Miliband being kept in Downing Street thanks to the support of the SNP.

With Alex Salmond hinting heavily that SNP MPs might be prepared to drop the convention that stops them voting on English-only matters, a future Miliband administration risks tearing the country apart as English voters become increasingly  incensed that Scottish MPs are imposing their agenda on the rest of the country.

Ed Jacobs is a contributing editor to Left Foot Forward

62 Responses to “A happy Christmas for Sturgeon as SNP ride high in the polls”

  1. Guest

    Ah, I’m being way to nice again. You’re for shining the stick up unionists, right, as you entirely dismiss morals.

  2. Guest

    So having morals loses you the respect, etc.

  3. Guest

    Ah, I’m still being WAY to nice, I see, as you accuse me of your issues, and make me out to be so much better than you, since evidently you’re plain anti-Human genocidal.

  4. Guest

    Ah yes, those evil facts – as you spew your anti-British hate, and hate on democracy, making your plans for Scotland plain.

  5. Guest

    “Them” – your anti-British PC springs up again, as you call facts “mudslinging”, as you support your preferred coalition partner.

  6. madasafish

    Happy Christmas to you and a good New Year.

  7. ForeignRedTory

    The UK of which you are part.
    Loyalty to the State is a non-negotiable.

  8. Guest

    Keep conflating loyalty to the state and loyalty to a government.

  9. Guest

    …And you’ll come back for another round then. Yea.

    No point saying anything similar to a Scrooge like you.

  10. treborc1

    England I’m not English.

  11. madasafish

    You really are a miserable cantankerous misery.. but Best Wishes anyway.

  12. Guest

    No, I’m not a Scrooge. It’s not my holiday, so I’m more amused than anything.

    Although I do admit over-use of the same music does annoy me in the weeks leading up…but it annoys a LOT of people, so that’s hardly unusual!

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